frostfern

The heat index combos were pretty incredible during the July 1995 heatwave, but other July's have been quite a bit hotter overall. Don't quote me on it, but 1988 and 2012 had hotter July's I think. Even July 2018 was very warm, even though it didn't have any heat waves or daily records broken (maybe a high low or two). That was more just high humidity and a lack of good cold fronts.

That's crazy. Funny what can happen when the west wind is strong enough to shunt the marine layer offshore. There's quite a w-e gradient here. I'd actually be very happy with upper 50s and low 60s this time of year as that's what makes for a good flower season. Can't really complain, but prolonged summer-like temps always seems to screws things up here if it happens before early May. There's always that late freeze.

It seems like black flies don't really take notice until you start to sweat. Like if you try to do landscaping or anything that requires hard sweaty work in the dirt they absolutely maul your head, like behind the ears, around the eyes, etc... Fleas and gnats are most annoying at night IMO. In places with no screens you try to read or use your laptop at night they see the light then come in and bite. They don't always bite, but sometimes just seeing them makes me start itching.

Before the Morch, it used to seem like all those old records from the mid 20th century were impossible to beat. It's still hard to beat a lot of summer records though, despite a warming climate overall. Seems like it's harder to get the heat without the humidity these days. To really smash records you need a dry heat, more often than not. July 1995 did both heat and humidity, but that was about as unusual as Morch 2012.

Yea. Black flies are obnoxious. I react to them way more than mosquitos. Even if they only bite one tiny spot, the whole area will erupt in itchy hives. They go for the head and face way more than mosquitos too. I spent the spring in Vermont in my younger days. One warm day in May they all come out at once.

27 degree 850s would equate to triple digits at sea level. The low level jet is pushing it east, but April sun angle isn't quite the same as June or July. It's a little harder to mix it all down.

Funny having flood warnings and red flag warnings at the same time. It's windy but the dewpoint isn't as low as it could be. Conifers do torch pretty easily this time of year though, regardless of humidity.

That must be incredibly heavy. It's like summer mountain snow at this point. What like 150" of powder all compressed down to 30"?

The stable layer might be shallower some places due to where standing gravity waves set up. The supercell itself was cyclonic, so the anticyclonic tornado was probably displaced from the main mesocyclone. I think the reason elevated supercells don't usually produce tornadoes is the fact that the low pressure in the center lifts up the stable layer similar to how a hurricane storm surge lifts the water surface. This makes the inflow above the stable layer more sloped as opposed to the abrupt rising motion you get under a surface based mesocyclone. But if you have an anticyclonic circulation it's probably not directly in the center of the main mesocyclone. I recall the El Reno tornado of May 31, 2013 produced at least one anticyclonic tornado displaced quite a ways from the main tornado.

I would love to see a writeup on this.

30 day precip here is now around 8.0". Definitely excessive for a pre-leafout month. Wish some if this moisture could be saved for July when its almost always drying out around here.

The river here is the highest it's been since late April 2013. Thankfully it will have time to work its way down during the dry period coming up. A training MCS later in the month could bring the high water right back though. A 4-5" convective rain event on top of already wet conditions is what put things over the top in 2013.

Nice to have a sunny day finally. My lawn puddles are finally gone this afternoon, and daffodil tips are showing themselves many places.

I think phone footage is okay when you're literally inside a tornado. I didn't get the DSLR out for my short hail chase either. Glad you and your partner are okay. When you're directly under a storm it's really hard to know what's coming or which direction you should go to get out of the way. I thought the hail core was passing to my east because the sky looked a little brighter to the west, but it was actually still west of me even though the sun was coming through a little. Absolutely nothing compared to what you went through, but I would have had some windshield damage too if I hadn't stopped under a gas station canopy in time. Absolutely nothing will protect a vehicle from a tornado though. Scary.

Same. The best storms that produce both a high flash rate and frequent CGs seem to happen with dewpoints in the 70s. You need a lot of CAPE and good forcing to get it going though.

I don’t always understand lightning. I didn’t see any with the hailer I chased, though I’m sure there was IC up in it that I couldn’t hear or see. The stuff that produced the loud cracks early this morning looked like garbage on radar when I looked. It was just a bunch of congealed micro-cells.

Disappointing here too. I did get a couple very loud bursts of CGs, around 5:00 am and then again around 7:30 am. Terrible timing though, I was in and out of sleep. The severe warned line later on was just heavy rain and occasional soft rumbles. I did get a flash flood IMBY. Backyard is literally a giant puddle.

Middleville.

Downdraft crapvection front. Real warm air got tackled on the 5 yard line and couldn’t get back up. Getting some flash flooding here. Entire lawn is a puddle. SE corner of the state has a chance. Maybe.

Garden variety popcorn cluster just woke me up. Holy crap was that loud. I need more sleep. Gonna be a rough day. Insomnia is awful.

The warm front is takings its sweet old time despite little convection and a screaming low level jet. Then GRR is talking about morning convection. I don’t know where thats supposed to come from. Looks like dry outflow moving across Wisconsin. Hopefully it slows down. Edit. Welp. Morning crapvection developing.

I thought it was drying up as it come in from the lake, as the rest of the MCS around it was drying up, but then it caught a second wind and blew up again. I'm happy I got a good spot under the canopy and the hail fell straight down rather than at an angle.

I chased that elevated supercell about 30 minutes south of my house and barely reached shelter before hail up to golf ball size hit. Nothing like sitting in the driving range! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjzXVitHSk8

There's mixing impinging from the west. The environment looks more moist over Illinois if the cells over NE Missouri can get there and organize. Still waiting for the northern cluster to congeal into something. Kind of a mess at present.

There number of lightning strikes is increasing.