wawarriors4

Saturday during our sleet bomb! Really though, I’d love this forecast if I thought it had even a 5% chance of verifying 10” for mby. With the preponderance of guidance all moving away from high qpf/snow totals, I’m not sure how useful this type of first guess is....

This seems loltastic

Some of the posts in the main thread just........

Moderate Snow and 32 just NW of Fredericksburg

Rain/snow mix 34

Rain and 36 NW of Fredericksburg

The NAM seems like a good hit even here just a little NW of Fredericksburg, as you mentioned the S/W is beginning to tilt negatively in a pretty good spot for our area.

Brother lives east of Reading, pictures he sent was easily 18+ there

Snow just NW of Fredericksburg, everything coated again, SN/29

Band really developing in Stafford County, interesting to see what it's like when it move through. It's just North of me.

Actually getting some Light Snow now just NW of Fredericksburg, driveway starting to dust up, 29 degrees. This is unexpected...

Just measured at 1:30 here NW of FXBG. 5.1” and currently 29 with a light snow/sleet mix

Up over 2” here NW of Fredericksburg, Snow and 27

Just went to moderate almost Heavy Snow

Thanks @MillvilleWx and everyone for the awesome analysis! Much appreciated! Light Snow and 28 NW of Fredericksburg

Meso for SW part of forum https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0049.html

About and inch and Light Snow, just NW of FXBG, 28.

Thumppin Baby! Almost 8" around FXBG good stuff. Juicy...... 28/13

The WAA drying up would be a tough pill, all along it has looked pretty decent for Charlottesville and decent over toward Fredericksburg too. Hoping to squeeze 5-6” out of it and whatever happens after that. Haven’t really had time to check any models, might be a good thing.

Winter Storm Warning posted for Southern/SW Parts of LWX Forecast Area...... Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 902 AM EST Sat Jan 30 2021 VAZ040-050-051-055>057-502-302215- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0002.210131T0600Z-210201T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0002.210131T0600Z-210201T0500Z/ Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George- Southern Fauquier- 902 AM EST Sat Jan 30 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch expected. * WHERE...Portions of central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM Sunday to midnight EST Sunday night. The heaviest snow is most likely just after sunrise Sunday into Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

Haha you know things have gone to crap around here when there’s been 27 minutes between posts in the main thread for this “storm” 24 hours before it’s supposed to begin.

I think 53 and 240 should have forecast contest, each can make ridiculous comments that are are off the wall awful, and the winner gets a box........

UKMET