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lee59

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  1. lee59

    July 2021

    lee59 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro

    Nice to see the southwest United States not having heat advisories. Phoenix expecting temperatures around 102-104 for the next number of days. Their average high is 104.
  2. lee59

    July 2021

    lee59 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro

    Was at Tobay beach tonight, just east of Jones Beach. Most everyone had on sweat shirts and light jackets. Definitely did not feel like July.
  3. lee59

    July 2021

    lee59 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro

    For whatever reason, Newark is the hottest major recording station in our area in the summer. I believe the local environment of concrete, maybe all the chemical and industrial facilities nearby, the wide open space of a major airport and with many large planes and that sun beating down on all the tarmac, probably has a play in those temperature readings. I don't think the readings are wrong, just a product of the environment, just like Central Park is a product of that environment.
  4. lee59

    July 2021

    lee59 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro

    84.5 was my high but very humid.
  5. lee59
    May have been some kind of microburst that went through the southeast part of levittown. That is where this house is I own and not only is this big tree down but there's wires down in nearby areas too, from what I am told.
  6. lee59
    Well I guess it did over achieve. Just found out the big tree on a small house I own in Levittown, came down.
  7. lee59
    Ended up with 3.4 inches of rain from Elsa and 4.1 inches including yesterday. Peak wind gust 35mph. I would say a bit of an over achiever from what I was expecting.
  8. lee59
    My barometric pressure is 1003 or 29.63 inches. Elsa barometric pressure was, I believe, about 1006 yesterday. So some intensification does seem to have happened.
  9. lee59
    Looks like the center of Elsa is near the middle of the south shore of Long Island.
  10. lee59
    As the storm pulls away, it is getting fairly windy here.
  11. lee59
    Surprised to see branches down when I went to the store. The wind has been gusty at times but generally not to strong. I have had 3.25 inches of rain from Elsa and including yesterday 4.03 inches.
  12. lee59
    2 inches of rain here since midnight, just about all of it in the last few hours, winds have picked up some gusting to 30mph.
  13. lee59
    My wind is shifting from east to NNE , so I would say the storm has been SSW of me and is now more south .
  14. lee59
    Picked up .70 inch of rain in 20 minutes, still heavy. Winds gusty but not real strong, gusting to 26mph.
  15. lee59
    Heavy rain and gusty winds, over an inch so far.
  16. lee59
    Moderate rain here but winds are picking up, gusting over 20mph
  17. lee59
    More heavy rain, thunder and lightning here.
  18. lee59
    Very heavy rain, no wind here, plenty of thunder and lightning.
  19. lee59
    Got about a 1/2 inch of rain in 15 minutes. Still raining fairly hard.
  20. lee59
    A lot of thunder and lightning here with heavy rain.
  21. lee59

    July 2021

    lee59 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro

    Wow, only 84 here but very oppressive
  22. lee59
    Most of the bad weather with this storm is well to the north and east. So I would think our worst weather will happen when the center of Elsa is over the Delmarva area into southern New Jersey.
  23. lee59
    I think hype and creating news stories plays a much bigger role today than it has in the past. Also being overly cautious probably plays a part.
  24. lee59
    This storm has spent a good part of its life at or above 1000 low. I think the lowest it ever got was the low to mid 990s.
  25. lee59
    This according to NHC. Rawinsonde data and GOES-16 RGB airmass imagery show an upper-level shortwave trough over the southeastern United States to the west of Elsa, and the global models forecast this system to follow the cyclone northeastward and take on a negative tilt. This should result in increasing upper-level divergence over Elsa, which in turn should lead to some strengthening as the storm moves near or over the east coast of the United States. The 00Z ECMWF model is not as bullish on intensification as its previous run, but it and the 00Z UKMET still call for strengthening, and even the weaker GFS forecasts the favorable upper-air pattern. Based on this, the new intensity forecast shows a little more strengthening than the previous forecast.
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