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lee59

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Everything posted by lee59

  1. The winters are more mild now by a few degrees, but the moisture has also increased. So winter snows have increased, at least for now. I think this winter is simply bad because of the pattern were in. If those storms were off the coast and not inland runners, there would be a lot more happy people on the forum.
  2. According to Upton: High res models indicating strongest mid-level frontogenesis develops to the north and west of the coastal plain Wed morning into early afternoon. This will actually have the highest likelihood and intensity of precip to develop across Interior portions of NE NJ, Lower Hud and SW CT Wed morning into early afternoon (thermal profile plenty cold enough for snow). With that said, can not rule out that this development could be a bit farther south into the coastal plain (although a lower probability). Most indications are for snow development to hold off until mid morning or later.
  3. As you get into the Mid Hudson Valley and north and west, could be a nice thumping of snow before any mixing.
  4. Large area of winter weather advisories and warnings in the eastern U.S. Mostly just the immediate coast in our area not under an advisory. NWS still has the city getting a little snow.
  5. The last 30 yr. average for snowfall at Central Park has to be one of the highest 30 yr. averages since records have been taken. Maybe this is just the law of averages taking over and we got a little spoiled.
  6. I can't believe I am rooting for .01 inch of snow for Central Park.
  7. It looks like the RGEM shows a small accumulation for the city, less than an inch. I hope but won't be surprised if there is no accumulation.
  8. Yea Euro and CMC seem to be on board for at least a turn to cold, we shall see.
  9. So the GFS says an 80-90% chance of Central Park getting an inch of snow. Would be nice to see that Wednesday but I have my doubts. Anything measurable would be good.
  10. Nice to see some areas getting some snow today. I think a little more than what was expected a few days ago. Hopefully the next storm will do the same. I just hope Central Park can get an accumulation, then that'll be by the wayside
  11. NWS seems to think tomorrow could transition back to snow. No accumulation expected at the coast
  12. Glad to see the GFS showing cold throughout most of the United States in the beginning of February. Not saying it will happen but it's more than I've seen up to this point
  13. I had about a half inch in December, in the levittown area. Are you talking about pictures of Central Park?
  14. I think it may be over for next year to.
  15. There are probably many things that we don't consider. This is why I take writing off February and March with a grain of salt. Not saying they won't be mild with lack of snow, just saying nobody really knows this far out.
  16. I am hearing different numbers for the longest streak in Central Park without snow. 322 days and 332 days. Apparently the longest streak is 332 days, Jan 19- Dec 15 of 2020. This would mean they have 18 more days before the longest streak is broken. That would put them into February.
  17. Is Central Park the only recording station in our area that has not received snow?
  18. How can write off the entire month of February when it is January 16th.
  19. Global sea levels are up 3.8 inches in the past 30 years.
  20. So far this month my averages are High 48.2 and low 35.4. My low temperature has been 28.4. My low is actually higher than the average minimum.
  21. Snowing on the Cape, numerous webcams for anyone interested: https://masswebcams.com/cape-cod-webcams/
  22. Light Snow in Montauk: https://www.webcamtaxi.com/en/usa/new-york/montauk-downtowncircle.html
  23. Not doing much here now but just had enough in the past hour to whiten the cars again.
  24. Hard to say where it will snow shower. They seem to form, diminish and then form again.
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