Carvers Gap

Autocorrect is absolutely shredding my posts today. I have to get bifocals strengthened in my glasses - actually went for an eye appointment today. So, when it autocorrects...it sort of looks right when I am on my phone. Went back and read some posts this evening on my computer(bigger print). Looked like some of the older posts were written in Old English.

Needless to say, very little ensemble support for that. 2/30 members have it.

You are right. It had a cutoff in the West for days. Has had at least a couple of cutoffs over TN. With that big area of blocking over the top, it appears steering winds are minimal. Almost like a tropical storm under a big ridge. The end of the 18z GFS run had like 3 lined-up. Crazy looking stuff. And agree. Makes me think we may see a very slow mover at some point....could be rain or wintery. Not a cutoff, but just a series of systems which move very slowly. Might even be a realistic flooding threat if not snow.

18z GFS mega cut-off accumulations...like four days of snow.

Probably time for a December thread OR just a winter thread (part I) as the LR discussions are taking us there now. Who feels like they have the mojo? You could be a legend if it is good.

I feel certain that we have some actual farmers on this forum, even if they just lurk some. @Coach B, is this in your wheelhouse?

Welcome aboard! Yeah, great weather forum. Too many great posters to name.

Some great information above by John about weather stations. Enjoyed reading that. Looks like TRI has tied two record highs. One on the 9th and then yesterday the 11th. The aren't in the record book yet, so will wait for confirmation from the MRX. This week has fell like summer. Yesterday was a whopping 21 degrees AN and our fourth straight day of double digit departures AN.

I truly don't understand the warmth around the PV. Seems like that would split it or maybe it means it is tightening up.

Holston, all of that sounds bad. Is some of that good? QBO at 30mb may be poised to hit positive levels(regarding January) that we have not seen in some time. It is really high even now.

TRI is currently at 76F which ties the record high for this date.

Good looking yard, Powell.

Almost looks like outflow boundaries on convection. Did we have any convection yesterday?

I know it is basketball...but we could call it the AmWx.Com Bowl. LOL.

@nrgjeff Kansas vs Tennessee on Jan 30th in Knoxville. Was announced today as part of the BigXII/SEC matchups.

12z GFS dropped half a foot over west TN just after 240 and then boomeranged another storm inland into a hybrid ice storm in the mountains.

And the 12z Euro was close....really cold Northwest flow look at the end. Again, banter means HUGE grain.

12z GFS. LOL. Looks like the dead of winter after d10. If that occurs, it will align with the "early snows equal crap winters" IMBY....the old Halloween snow equals no snow for winter alignment. Hour 252....crazy in terms of snow. End of the run...crazier in terms of temps.

I really like the idea of pattern discussion in the Banter Thread. Way more laid back....LOL. Been hurrying up and waiting for like two years in terms of weather. What is weird is that Kentucky games are always cold. Played it earlier this year and tried to full Mother Nature....and she still figured it out. Just give me cold and Dec 5th(as cold as reasonably possible) for the Florida game.

On the 6z GEFS and 0z EPS...d10-11 looks nice. That type of deep trough could be mischief in terms of an early season storm. Of course, way out there....but that is the kind of look that could pull a tropical system into something that goes hybrid. Wouldn't be surprised for the mountains to see something around that time frame. It would also fit the pattern of the past few years of early cold and winter precip....and then crap. LOL.

My first GFS digital snow at on the 18z run at hour 288.

@Stovepipe, man, planted some sorghum this year. Crushing it today, and going to boil it down into molasses - I hope! I bought a hand mile. It is kicking my butt. LOL. Doing a nice job of getting that green juice out of the cane, but whew....much respect to our ancestors who figure out a horse or mule was a better source of energy. About 30 minutes into this, I was wondering if I could convert the hand mill over, and just drive my mower around it in circles!!!!

Been in the mid 50s all day here. Around midnight it was 67, so the record for today will make it seem warmer than what it actually was. Drizzle, rain, mist....regular rain fest.

Great post! Wouldn't bother me a bit if it was in the winter thread or pattern thread.

Vol football Saturday and basketball season just around the corner. VERY excited about basketball this year. We have some legitimate depth at guard this year, and we all know that is a good mix for the post season.