Carvers Gap

I truly don't understand the warmth around the PV. Seems like that would split it or maybe it means it is tightening up.

Holston, all of that sounds bad. Is some of that good? QBO at 30mb may be poised to hit positive levels(regarding January) that we have not seen in some time. It is really high even now.

TRI is currently at 76F which ties the record high for this date.

Good looking yard, Powell.

Almost looks like outflow boundaries on convection. Did we have any convection yesterday?

I know it is basketball...but we could call it the AmWx.Com Bowl. LOL.

@nrgjeff Kansas vs Tennessee on Jan 30th in Knoxville. Was announced today as part of the BigXII/SEC matchups.

12z GFS dropped half a foot over west TN just after 240 and then boomeranged another storm inland into a hybrid ice storm in the mountains.

And the 12z Euro was close....really cold Northwest flow look at the end. Again, banter means HUGE grain.

12z GFS. LOL. Looks like the dead of winter after d10. If that occurs, it will align with the "early snows equal crap winters" IMBY....the old Halloween snow equals no snow for winter alignment. Hour 252....crazy in terms of snow. End of the run...crazier in terms of temps.

I really like the idea of pattern discussion in the Banter Thread. Way more laid back....LOL. Been hurrying up and waiting for like two years in terms of weather. What is weird is that Kentucky games are always cold. Played it earlier this year and tried to full Mother Nature....and she still figured it out. Just give me cold and Dec 5th(as cold as reasonably possible) for the Florida game.

On the 6z GEFS and 0z EPS...d10-11 looks nice. That type of deep trough could be mischief in terms of an early season storm. Of course, way out there....but that is the kind of look that could pull a tropical system into something that goes hybrid. Wouldn't be surprised for the mountains to see something around that time frame. It would also fit the pattern of the past few years of early cold and winter precip....and then crap. LOL.

My first GFS digital snow at on the 18z run at hour 288.

@Stovepipe, man, planted some sorghum this year. Crushing it today, and going to boil it down into molasses - I hope! I bought a hand mile. It is kicking my butt. LOL. Doing a nice job of getting that green juice out of the cane, but whew....much respect to our ancestors who figure out a horse or mule was a better source of energy. About 30 minutes into this, I was wondering if I could convert the hand mill over, and just drive my mower around it in circles!!!!

Been in the mid 50s all day here. Around midnight it was 67, so the record for today will make it seem warmer than what it actually was. Drizzle, rain, mist....regular rain fest.

Great post! Wouldn't bother me a bit if it was in the winter thread or pattern thread.

Vol football Saturday and basketball season just around the corner. VERY excited about basketball this year. We have some legitimate depth at guard this year, and we all know that is a good mix for the post season.

Especially after the September torch from last year!!!!

CPC maps made today depict BN temps in the 6-10 day, 8-14 day, and 3-4 week experimental forecast ranges. Not often one sees that. I will even settle for seasonal.

Whew! It was warm yesterday. Starting to get flashbacks of last September. Looks like a cool down is on the way for the latter third of the month. That said, we hit 90(or above) fourteen times last September. We have hit it zero times so far during this September at TRI. We may very well hit it today though, but still much improved! Watching cross country runners fight the heat yesterday afternoon....glad I was a spectator and glad there was some shade on the course!!! I have much respect for young people who can traverse a course in that heat and humidity.

Completely missed that last paragraph. My deepest apologies for not seeing that. How is it going Jax? Also, thanks for the consistent ENSO updates.

Hey, I actually like one big storm to take all of the leaves down!!!! LOL. I don't like getting nickel and dimed with leaf work. I like seeing howlers come through and just strip every leaf.

Rains have definitely increased IMBY. It looks like spring here with all of the green. So far this is the antithesis of September last year. Leaves should look awesome this year.

So, is modeling correcting towards a weaker La Nina. Saw that mentioned as a possibility in the MA winter thread? If so, that is a significant.

Great share. Your Hickory Cane corn is massive. As for how my garden is doing? Pretty much switched over to all summer stuff. This was a big year for potatoes and garlic. Summer stuff is about 2-3 weeks behind due to the late start, but it is going to hit in a wave pretty soon. Been a banner pepper year. I will try to get some pics uploaded later. My garden looks night and day to what it was two months ago. It has gone nuts. Copper spray has kept much of the disease away on my tomatoes - so far. Should be a really good garden year. Need more rain as this heat really sucks the moisture right out of the ground. No amount of humidity can slow moisture loss in 90+ degree heat. The soil just gets baked.