Carvers Gap

What would be gold would be to have the TPV split, head south, and get locked under that block right there.

That is how it should look. That is better than good. As a friend noted, a ridge may roll through from time to time...but that is how a block should look. Not sure I have a seen a block that intense last for that long. Yesterday's system of cold catching rain was old school. That look right there is old school. I think modeling is feeling that unfavorable MJO, but the very favorable -NAO is balancing this Sith/Jedi pattern in the LR - where there is one, there is another. Well, something like that...

And just like that the GEFS and GEPS are back to a workable look at 12z.

LR thoughts...posted them in the Dec thread but will link them here in the new thread. Changes in global ensembles (2 posts)....

I have seen snow roll in out West one time which was similar to this - on June 14th!!! Got 5-6" of snow at 6,000'. Was an incredible day of fishing to boot. Motion is sped up a bit, but the wall of snow is what is impressive.

Great time lapse!

Great start and then coasted home....but glad to have Tennessee basketball back.

John has it posted in the main thread. Great track. ICON had something similar.

I think we are 37 as well. With that light breeze, still chilly. I have to go running later...just trying to wait for it to warm-up a hair.

Temp is 34 in Kingsport with a slight breeze. WC is probably below 32. Pretty raw day.

Spitting some salt and pepper size flakes here. Had some flurries and very light snow showers for about an hour or so. You can see the banding of those on the RadarScope image below.

That's pretty hilarious. I see that we have a few who speak our local wx microclimate dialect.

Inside joke for the rest of the TRI Kingsport crew. If you know what we are talking about, discuss let's not...we all need our relatives still working. LOL...downsloping is just one of the problems we have to overcome.

LOL. You know we are going to be last in Kingsport and you know why!

The first day of meteorological winter IMBY. Had a dusting on the ground. Wind chills were in the teens for much of the day. The mountains had near blizzard conditions. Ski slopes have to be loving this. No idea if it lasts, but what a great day for winter lovers across the eastern half of the state. That is how you start winter right there.

They are gone on top of Bays for sure. One on my street is still pale green...as in my front yard. The try and I are at odds. LOL. I hope the wind tonight strips that sucker bare.

Just did my leaves last night. 25mph winds on tap later today and tonight....crap.

Autocorrect is absolutely shredding my posts today. I have to get bifocals strengthened in my glasses - actually went for an eye appointment today. So, when it autocorrects...it sort of looks right when I am on my phone. Went back and read some posts this evening on my computer(bigger print). Looked like some of the older posts were written in Old English.

Needless to say, very little ensemble support for that. 2/30 members have it.

You are right. It had a cutoff in the West for days. Has had at least a couple of cutoffs over TN. With that big area of blocking over the top, it appears steering winds are minimal. Almost like a tropical storm under a big ridge. The end of the 18z GFS run had like 3 lined-up. Crazy looking stuff. And agree. Makes me think we may see a very slow mover at some point....could be rain or wintery. Not a cutoff, but just a series of systems which move very slowly. Might even be a realistic flooding threat if not snow.

18z GFS mega cut-off accumulations...like four days of snow.

Probably time for a December thread OR just a winter thread (part I) as the LR discussions are taking us there now. Who feels like they have the mojo? You could be a legend if it is good.

I feel certain that we have some actual farmers on this forum, even if they just lurk some. @Coach B, is this in your wheelhouse?

Welcome aboard! Yeah, great weather forum. Too many great posters to name.

Some great information above by John about weather stations. Enjoyed reading that. Looks like TRI has tied two record highs. One on the 9th and then yesterday the 11th. The aren't in the record book yet, so will wait for confirmation from the MRX. This week has fell like summer. Yesterday was a whopping 21 degrees AN and our fourth straight day of double digit departures AN.