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cbmclean

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Everything posted by cbmclean

  1. This could end up being the best storm since I moved here in 2008 excepting Boxing Day 2010, and ironically I missed that one since I was visiting my wife's family in Old Fort. I did get a white Christmas out of the deal.
  2. Past 4" now. With the bands on radar I think 6" is an attainable goal.
  3. Hitting the lower end of Greg Fishel's 4 - 7 band is definitely within reach.
  4. It's the kind of crow that I think we would all love to feast on.
  5. Really hoping the coastal can fling in a bit more moisture than currently progged.
  6. That map is saying 5" of additional snow from 7 PM tonight.
  7. Finally some stickage in Wilson. Much of what has fallen earlier has actually been graupel. Wasn't expecting that.
  8. HRRR slowly moistening the dry slot slightly this evening. (Comparing 16z to 17z).
  9. Not sure anyone can deny at this point there will be a relative minimum in the center of NC. The question is will there be a complete collapse of the coastal so virtually 0 qpf gets thrown into the entire NE quadrant of NC. That's a complete shocker for me and I'm going to have to see proof if anybody comes out after the fact and says they saw it coming.
  10. The regionals are much more aggressive with the coastal and as a result have much more QPF from Raleigh East. All we can do now is hope the CAMs are completely lost in that regard.
  11. What we're seeing on the CAMs isn't a dry slot so much as a complete failure of the coastal to do, well anything. Not sure what is going on there.
  12. RDU 10 th percentile is 1 inch, 90 th percentile is 11 inches. Median is between 5 and 6.
  13. This is amping up way too early, I wanted this to hold off until Thursday.
  14. I suspect that IF the storms amps at all, a NW trend is inevitable, because the cold press almost always ends up being overmodeled. Sure, suppressed/OTS is definitely still an option, but as of now I think this is an ideal presentation for Triangle east, with the storm still there but hanging out just off the coast.
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