cbmclean

The sad fact is that me being in the bullseye 6 days out means I am likely already out of the game.

What exactly did Mr. U say?

Sleet in Wilson.

Not nearly suppressed enough.

I've always dreamed if experiencing that.

I'm done with the GFS this year.

Was she alive in 2000? It can happen, once every century or so.

Like shit.

We need it suppressed to Venezuela. Is it in Venezuela? If not, I'm not getting my hopes up

Don't get pulled back in!! It's just trying to play with you.

I want to see suppression until 48 hours before and then watch it trend NW to me. That's how I scored last year.

We talked about wanting to see egg on Eric Webb's face, well he's doing the backstroke in an omelet swimming pool right now. The annoying thing he is not even acknowledging it. He's just carrying on commenting about the ice storm as if he didn't confidently predict there was no way this was going north and implying that NE snow weenies are stupid, dishonest, or both (unless he issued a mea culpa post that I missed).

Exactly, that is what we are rooting for in NC: the north vort to go ahead of the Baja. If they come out fast together then the storm is amped. If they come out slowly together, the storm will be amped AND the cold air will be retreating.

Clearly a lot of the guidance wants to pull in the Baja low. I am hoping that modelling is just as wrong as those that were scooting the cold air in Sunday in time for snow. But hope is not a substitute for analysis. I am intrigued by Eric Webb's posts about the SW energy coming out to soon. I hope he is as arrogantly right about that as he was on Sunday.

MA enjoying the CMC, which sucks for NC and South.