cbmclean

This is amping up way too early, I wanted this to hold off until Thursday.

The NAM still insists I got snow on 1/18.

I suspect that IF the storms amps at all, a NW trend is inevitable, because the cold press almost always ends up being overmodeled. Sure, suppressed/OTS is definitely still an option, but as of now I think this is an ideal presentation for Triangle east, with the storm still there but hanging out just off the coast.

Wind is howling tonight.

This is a beginner weenie mistake for Gemini (one that I have made many many times)...If there is moisture, the cold press almost by definition will not be as strong.

It nailed the low QPF here but I saw some discussion that it badly underestimated QPF in the MA. What makes me a casual weenie is I am too lazy to look back and find out.

It needs to tick E (and preferably SE) for a while to give E NC any hope.

The sad fact is that me being in the bullseye 6 days out means I am likely already out of the game.

What exactly did Mr. U say?

Sleet in Wilson.

Not nearly suppressed enough.

I've always dreamed if experiencing that.

I'm done with the GFS this year.

Was she alive in 2000? It can happen, once every century or so.

Like shit.