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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    If you believe some of the models today like the NAM just came out, they may be in a min between the northern fronto band and snow closer into the low. Hi-res models definitely emphasizing a rip off zone somewhere in S or C NJ between both. Anyway will be great to bump up the snowpack. Definitely some melt today especially where the sun hits. I’m thinking I-78 to 80, NYC and much of LI could be good for 3-5” based on trends today.
  2. jm1220
    Euro keeps the idea that there’ll be a relatively skunked area between the northern fronto band and main snow area near the low. Won’t be a problem for us but for Philly and S NJ might be.
  3. jm1220
    It’ll be fine with accumulating snow with the airmass and dews we have. Midtown as always is a different story but will accumulate too if it’s heavy enough.
  4. jm1220
    I haven’t had a chance to dive into it but ratios are determined more by cloud level temps where the snowflakes are made. If temps in the snow growth zone are -12 to -18C you’ll have the best snow growth (dendrites that pile up) and ratios. If the cloud is too cold often you’ll have needle/sand flakes which will be 10-1 or maybe even less.
  5. jm1220
    RAP looks really good. High end advisory event for most. That fronto band across central PA and NJ keeps ticking north. Between that and the main low may be a mini shaft zone so if that keeps going north Philly and I-195 might be in subsidence, but the consensus now is the best snow there.
  6. jm1220
    Wouldn’t be surprised to see northern areas score again. Looks like another high ratio heavy snow band could set up on the north extent of the good snow which is definitely trending N.
  7. jm1220
    HRRR with a good advisory event for just about all.
  8. jm1220
    Good trends overnight. We don’t need much at least around the city for an advisory event. Hopefully we see it continue with a slightly stronger system.
  9. jm1220
    Had some snow grains stick on my deck from the snow/graupel shower earlier.
  10. jm1220
    It consolidates the snow into a coastal low so it dissipates as it comes east from PA. We want that whole setup further north so either the coastal low develops later and that snow survives or we get clipped by the developing low.
  11. jm1220
    Flurries in E Northport.
  12. jm1220
    Looks like an issue with dry air drain coming down the Hudson/CT River with the cold air. Sometimes we get skunked from the city east with that in minor events.
  13. jm1220
    RGEM very nice event, would probably be 3-5” especially I-80 south given ratios. Might have a nice snow cover in places that get hit decently with this and last storm.
  14. jm1220
    Snow cover doing work to reduce overnight temps. Down to 17.
  15. jm1220
    This'll probably be a one hit wonder season like 94-95 with the smaller events like maybe Sat thrown in. Not the absolute basement of lousy but next step up.
  16. jm1220
    Getting icy in the spots that melted on pavement.
  17. jm1220
    I’ll go with 7.5” final here. It snowed pretty hard with the last band but only added a little more. 12.5-13” for the season, a third or so of the way to average. At least we have one warning event.
  18. jm1220
    Lots of people with egg on their face from this. Boston had a snow emergency for less than 1” total.
  19. jm1220
    Wow, this stuff is literally like cement. Compacting like crazy.
  20. jm1220
    Yep-it’s coming down as hard as it’s been all day.
  21. jm1220
    Here we go-back to moderate/heavy. Let’s see what this last band can do.
  22. jm1220
    I’m at about 7”. Nice final burst coming in-hopefully I can get to 8” but will probably be a little shy of it.
  23. jm1220
    I’ll probably end with 7-8”. Dumping here again but should be light from here on out.
  24. jm1220
    Just measured 6” or a little under on my deck.
  25. jm1220
    About 3” here now. Ripping.
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