There's definitely a weaker trend on the models so far but still good for a significant event around the city. I-84 corridor is sweating though. South also means weaker dynamics.
I'm definitely interested for Philly to Trenton and west on the Penn Turnpike to Harrisburg. DC/Baltimore probably need more help than possible this late.
Almost like a reverse Juno 2015 but even that had more agreement it wouldn't be special in NYC besides the Euro/NAM until the end. But yeah, there'll be an uproar in much of New England if these lamer solutions happen.
For the usual warm spots that are hard to accumulate I definitely agree. But in the places that are a little colder outside the city or even Bayside/Douglaston I can see 10" in some places-looks like it will really pound for a few hours. If this banding really happens it can happen in 4-5 hours at 1-3"/hour. I'm glad to see the Euro got a little better and HRRR/RAP are primed. GFS was annihilation from 7am to noon.
Not ideal for sure but we can do fine with a dynamic enough system-March 2018 etc. Midtown, the immediate south shore and usual warmer spots might have some issues but heavy snow will drop most of us to 32-33 quick.