jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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Yep, even in this climate we’re almost guaranteed another couple of freezes outside the city.
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70 even on the south shore barrier islands with the W wind. Long Beach also near 70.
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70 once again today. Again well warmer than forecast.
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Spring is mostly nicer SW of Philly where back door fronts are rare. Here and NE of us it’s often miserable because of them. Always dreadful to see the closed upper low develop east/NE of us and you know it’s drizzly stratus and 40s for days.
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Closest station to me hit 72. Was a picture perfect day. And no unless it’s well over 6”+ I don’t want any more snow. What falls this time of year is gone in under 24 hours anyway unless it’s 6+ and probably 10+.
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You can ever so slightly see the seabreeze front on OKX radar, just crossed the LIE in Suffolk. On DIX radar it’s much more visible.
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Temps this time of year almost always go above consensus away from the seabreeze and in a westerly downslope flow.
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70 here. Picture perfect afternoon. 50 on Fire Island. @nycwinter maybe catch the ferry!
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“Only” in the upper 40s in March? What’s someone gonna come up with next, a snowstorm at Day 10? @MJO812
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I would still rate it a beast where I was living at the time. In Long Beach there was maybe 8” of snow that became icebergs when the water surged in all throughout town. Plus 60+ mph wind. 24” would’ve been much better but still a major impact. It’s the kind of storm you see once in a lifetime. I think in WV every 24 hour snow record was broken.
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With the recent “winters” we’ve had maybe we need a new schedule.
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We’ve seen these long range head fakes to cold time after time since Oct had these great monthly maps for winter just to get blown away by the rampaging Pacific jet. Until the Pacific SST orientation changes in a meaningful way particularly off Japan and Indonesia we’re probably staying screwed. This winter functioned for much of it like a Nina with a more active southern jet that made it more wet. We had maybe 10 days that ended up being favorable for snow out of the whole winter.
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JFK gusted to 53 last hour and LGA gusted to 58. I wouldn’t say it’s underperforming. I’d say here it’s gusting to 45 or higher at times. If anything maybe Upton should’ve gone with high wind warnings.
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Unfortunately we’re entering the time of year where the lousy back door front ENE flow usually wins out.
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The urban heat island might be done with 32 or below, out here though it's usually a few degrees colder or more than the city at night. And like PSV said, lots of blooming here over the last week. Hopefully the cold air sets up west of us like usual again so we don't see plant damage. Of course I'd be more than happy to keep the bugs away a few more weeks. With all this rain the mosquitoes will be awful later in the spring.
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If this late month cold shot is happening we'll definitely go below again a few times. And that will damage some of the plants that will bloom this week in the upcoming warmth.
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Rain with graupel here. The misery continues.
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1.9" here. Backyard is a pond/swamp again.
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Roads closing in Long Beach from flooding. Strong SE winds driving in water plus heavy rain.
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45mph gusts at JFK and FRG.
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Upton talking up moderate coastal flooding for the S Shore back bays and 8-12 foot waves for the beaches. Won't be a severe erosion event most likely since this won't have time to build up a large fetch but any amount of erosion at this point is really bad news. Nice afternoon for once. Flowers and plants are greening and blooming like crazy.
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Yep it’s crazy, and it must be driving these roaring Pacific Jet patterns that inundate us with warmth. In this era maybe the only way that changes is a competing marine heatwave somewhere else.
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Don’t think we can dispute the pendulum is slamming back the other direction after our big snow 2000-18 period. Until the Pacific meaningfully changes out of this crap SST orientation the odds are strongly against us.
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Yay Perma-Nina. The Nina hangover pattern never really went away this winter from the last one, we have a very -PDO and boiling equatorial WPAC, and now we have an official probably mod-strong Nina for next winter. Hopefully we get a high ACE and it’s an East based Nina or we’re in big trouble next winter too.
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If Central Park can’t get its act together with measuring snow, official measurements for NYC should be moved to LGA. It’s about centrally located in the 5 boroughs, not far from Manhattan.
