jm1220

They've mostly had a lousy to awful snow season. Syracuse has about half its yearly average. Buffalo is about average, Rochester is below average. Not that unusual for them to still be getting snow in late March.

Flash of lightning and rumble of thunder. Heavy rain currently.

It’s like clockwork the last few springs.

Lots of plants/flowers blooming from the early warmth, may be in trouble.

We seem to be entering a long term summer trend here in the Northeast that favors higher humidity over higher heat, at least extreme heat. The ridge over the summer is becoming steeper and centered further north over the last few summers, which results in the strongest heat overshooting this area to hit southern Canada and Maine. We have more of a southerly onshore flow that brings humidity in, not the westerly flow that drives temps up. Bluewave will have better stats but there has been a marked increase in 75 or higher dewpoint days over the last 5 summers or so. We’re becoming much more Florida like here. The downside to that has been the warming oceans that make us more susceptible to tropical systems and the tendency to have them steered toward us on the southerly flow rather than out to sea like usual.

Wow, that's gonna be a kick in the teeth regardless of any snow.

Long Beach again immediately on the shore got almost a foot of cement from that. Where I live now (granted a good bit more favored for late season snow) had 18".

Can’t speak to Central Park but in April 2003 and April 2018 right on the south shore where I lived at the time there was 6” each. It’s rare but doable.

Pretty intense tornado outbreak yesterday in the Austin TX area. Not quite around where I used to live on the SW side of town, but some heavily populated areas north of town (Round Rock which wasn’t tornado warned apparently as it went across I-35) and east (Elgin). Downtown dodged a bullet thankfully, it looked hairy for a while. The Jarrell 1997 outbreak was the last really destructive one around Austin. Several other intense tornadoes hit the area besides the huge Jarrell one, which would’ve been catastrophic had it hit 30 miles south of Jarrell. That’s the first outlying town in the northern suburban Austin county (Williamson County).

Seems to be like clockwork that we have this garbage big -NAO in late March now that’s only good for locking in raw easterly winds or useless cold.

70 here. Long Beach 52, Captree 48. Today’s definitely a reason I moved here from the south shore.

Gorgeous up here today, temp 64. Yep, glad I’m not on the south shore. Many more days like that to come unfortunately as the water temps creep back up.

67 degrees. Can definitely get used to this. 45 though at Captree

At this point I don't want it. Bring on the torch.

Coating here.

Borderline heavy now!

Moderate wind whipped snow in Long Beach. Sticking to all surfaces. Nice finale.

All that in central PA will dry up as it comes over the mountains and downslopes. Maybe there can be a coating with some snow squalls later under the trough. But overall a lame event. Finally seeing some snow flurries here.

These precip vs cold air race events almost never work out for the coast. We need the upper level lows to be better defined so the precip can be thrown back into the cold air. Otherwise as Snowgoose called to a T, we just dry out on the NW wind. Rain’s about done and the sky is brightening up already.

Euro’s frequently too cold in these coastal events.

Rain/some sleet. Looks like the meh/warm models were right. Congrats to those NW of the city who finally got a decent event.

I’m expecting nothing frozen or practically nothing so it’s fine. If winter ended for me with the 2” on Wed that’s totally fine by me. That said, an hour or two for the cold air advance makes a huge difference. It’s cold air vs precip remaining race.

Could still be pretty high impact since no one is expecting it now and since there’s a high chance that what falls freezes up tomorrow night.

How has the HREF been this season? It was somewhat too aggressive with the last slip/snow event this week. Is there a 12z HREF out yet?

That I do think will happen-tons of black ice on the roads Sat night. But the accumulating snow could go either way. As others mentioned an hour or two difference in the changeover time will mean a lot. NW of the city should have a decent period of snow. If it can snow hard in the city for a while it should stick since temps will be dropping below freezing.