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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    It’s absolutely pouring here and I’m over 2” now per radar. Heavy rain goes back to around Westbury and it’s not moving fast. We won’t get what the city/Nassau got but we’re in for a rough couple hours.
  2. jm1220
    No…please no.
  3. jm1220
    Pouring here finally with the firehose. And it’s still not making quick headway east.
  4. jm1220
    Yyyyep lol. I don’t think the water system was entirely fixed after Sandy either. That literally drove the sewage up through the pipes along with the 8 foot surge.
  5. jm1220
    Uggh not good.
  6. jm1220
    All of SW Nassau between 5-8” now. Thankfully the line is making some headway east but that’s bad for me.
  7. jm1220
    My turn with this now-rain picking up.
  8. jm1220
    My mother's driving in this right now in Long Beach. Can't imagine-have to think she pulled over.
  9. jm1220
    This definitely has to be the south shore's Ida, since that area escaped the worst of it then. S Nassau just getting annihilated, and JFK with nearly 8" total.
  10. jm1220
    Firehose is making some headway east. I might be in for it near the Nassau border.
  11. jm1220
    5 towns area/Atlantic Beach getting destroyed. There’ll definitely be 6-8” rain totals in that area. Long Beach to Rockville Centre next up. Edit-probably conservative on the rain totals. Already 6” in some of those places.
  12. jm1220
    You can see on the radar how this setup works-the smaller cells firing up over the ocean and heading NW, then exploding into the firehose when they reach the inverted trough.
  13. jm1220
    The main firehose band looks to be pivoting east very slowly. Nassau might be screwed pretty soon and my area needs to keep an eye on it too. Already 3-5” in western Nassau.
  14. jm1220
    The Van Wyck is a disaster on a clear day, can’t imagine it now.
  15. jm1220
    I wouldn’t follow any model too closely, they’re flopping around and some are clearly wrong already like the 12z GFS.
  16. jm1220
    State of emergency declared in NYC.
  17. jm1220
    HRRR’s been all over the place here. Now we’re back to getting soaked in Suffolk. It’s bad for the city/Nassau but please keep the training out that way, thanks.
  18. jm1220
    JFK getting pounded again and they’re well over 4”. They might be next with a terminal closed.
  19. jm1220
    And you forecast it the best out of anyone, kudos again.
  20. jm1220
    There were predictions for locally 5”+ and flood watches so no, to me this was well forecast. Models did a good job as well pointing this out.
  21. jm1220
    Long Beach over 3” now and 4”+ closer to the Rockaways. I’m sure there’s flooding there.
  22. jm1220
    I have about 1.25”. Still a long way to go but if 3k NAM is right (big if since it’s been flopping all over the place), we’re good. I don’t want to deal with flooded streets/basement so I’m totally fine with this being a bust other than just laughing at how the jackpot’s been in the same areas for the last 4 months.
  23. jm1220
    We’ll see if any of the training can make it here but cautiously optimistic we miss out on the crazy stuff. Nassau still under the gun.
  24. jm1220
    S Nassau, 5 towns and Long Beach area must be having some flooding too. 2-3”+ there so far and looks like more heavy rain incoming.
  25. jm1220
    Training possibly setting up for Nassau with the heavy rain south of Long Beach. And yes, the inverted trough setup will keep filling in the rain. Very moist Atlantic air is rising as it comes in from the east into the trough.
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