That was just before I moved here I knew it was sometime around then, and it was snow/sleet, not freezing rain. Those two pictures in that link are hilarious. Typical TX weather lol.
The low level cold will be locked in but it is whether we have the moisture to allow for some frozen precipitation to materialize. Like cheese said it's been some time since we've had something like this here. We're due lol. Last notable winter precipitation event in DFW area was February 2015 I believe with the FZRA.
I agree it's one of those events where dynamics will win out, increase those ratios and give that area more than advertised. We'll see will surely be fun to watch tomorrow.
Anything under 24" is called "futile" by some snow weenies lol. I would assume there were some winters that received nearly nothing. I wonder if they used the term, "global warming" back then.
Other than a couple mini events in January Boston had nada. Blue Hill did good with that October nor'easter...got 6" of paste. I remember having to walk a mile up to the observatory that morning due to downed trees lol. Blue Hill actually set a monthly snowfall record of 8.5" for that October.
Models trended slightly east overnight which doesn't surprise me. DFW was on the western fringe to begin with but still plenty of time for models to change:
For the most part. Like I mentioned earlier I think some of that dry air could integrate some FZRA/FZDZ to areas north of ORH as we head into tonight and overnight.
January 5th and 6th have slight potential if that s/w over TX doesn't dig so far south because it currently doesn't phase with that other s/w coming out of Alberta until it's on the east coast which is too late. I think it's still possible phasing happens sooner, and further north to allow for a potential winter event for New England.
NAM appeared to be verifying the best in regards to the location of the warm nose when I got into work but I haven't checked to see what it was showing yesterday.
What were ya'll expecting I haven't looked at models for New England until I got into work this evening. I thought SNE was generally looking at a 1-3" scenario with a mixed bag of precipitation. Everyone seems pretty let down.
Dynamics are pretty good looking at soundings if you wetbulb you may be able to get a least a couple inches out of it. Stark north-south gradient with this system.