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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. The rain/snow line really crashed south after sunset. Snow is coming down pretty good now and the grass is whitening.
  2. Snow is beginning to mix in here. I don't expect any accumulation until after midnight when the defo band moves in.
  3. The rain/snow line should be parked over the CR/IC area all night. A few miles could be the difference between 1 and 4 inches. The HRRR has no snow in Iowa City until morning.
  4. I'm sticking with 3" here, which would put me at about 10" for the season.
  5. 00z HRRR and NAM are both north and snowier. Perhaps the full sampling, with wave #2 now onshore, has something to do with it.
  6. The latest HRRR is north and more robust with the snow band.
  7. It is pretty great over here today... about 60º here with mid 60s just sw, plus sun and no wind.
  8. Canadian and Euro are still holding steady with some decent snow. Frankly, I think a few inches here would be a solid outcome.
  9. The 00z Euro, of course, holds steady, so who knows how this will play out.
  10. Yikes! The UK just went GFS on us. The second wave tracks farther east before cutting northeast, much less snow up here.
  11. Meanwhile, the Canadian is steady with a solid band... really on a different planet than the GFS. The difference seems to be how the models handle the jet streak energy rounding the base of the trough. The GFS swings the energy south and east of the others, so by the time the energy turns north and spins up, it's at Lake Michigan.
  12. GFS has become bizarrely weak with the snow band. Remember, this morning it had a foot over southeast Wisconsin.
  13. 12z Euro is also more amped, but tracks farther south.
  14. UK is stronger than last run as well, so models are amping back up after a steady southeast-and-weaker trend.
  15. 12z Canadian has the same track and strength as the GFS, but it keeps southeast WI mostly rain.
  16. GFS crusher for southeast Wisconsin. A few models show a fairly steady solid snow band across the region. A couple others have only modest snow in Iowa, but it really ramps up to the east.
  17. This morning's NAM is a closed, amped outlier, throwing snow way up into Minnesota and central/northern Wisconsin.
  18. Interesting post-storm pattern on tonight's Euro... has a giant bowling ball upper low dropping straight south out of Canada and phasing with some strong Texas energy.
  19. GFS is back on board the biggie... Indiana gets crushed.
  20. I finished with 1.30" of precip for the event after a nice soaking this morning from the deformation zone.
  21. If you live west of Chicago, there does not appear to be much to get excited about over the next 10+ days.
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