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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    The NAM is a mystery. The 12z had nothing in Waterloo (IA). The 00z has nearly a foot in Waterloo. It has heavier snow well to the northwest of Cedar Rapids than it does in Cedar Rapids or Iowa City.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    I recorded 11.5".
  3. hawkeye_wx
    And now the NAM is drying up the snow for east-central Iowa just as badly as the Euro and HRRR. For the last few days it has been all about how far north or south it would track. I did not expect to have to worry about the precip shield crapping out this far west.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    The 10:1 HRRR map shows the exact same feature as the 12z Euro. The precip shield begins to quickly dry up as it moves up into east-central Iowa. This is looking more like a garden-variety moderate storm for Cedar Rapids.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    We were just a bit too far nw. We got into the general heavy precip shield, but the very heavy, enhanced band set up just east/southeast of Cedar Rapids. I recorded 10".
  6. hawkeye_wx
    Another burst of snow very early this morning boosted my wave 1 total to 2.6". That is a nice total considering it had been crapping out on the models and even once it began the radar looked like a total dud. Fortunately, the tail juiced up and passed over east-central IA. My area ended up being the winner.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    It's a shame a strong system with a favorable track has to be in full weaken mode as it moves through. For my area, it's just a question of how quickly the snow band weakens. I'm going with 5-7" here.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    06z RDPS is north as well.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    I picked up a nice 2.3" of fluff early tonight.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    I was born in 1974 and I've never measured 12" of snow, so the stat is legit.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    Jeez, the Euro only drops 4.5" on Cedar Rapids now from the big system (using 10:1).
  12. hawkeye_wx
    If the snow is going to be a bit wet, and with some good wind and drifting, I know the ratio in my yard will be crap. 6-9" seems like a good guess here at this point.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    It does have a secondary defo zone that completes the storm for northern Illinois. Michigan gets hosed, though.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro really craps out the precip shield as you head east of Iowa. East of Chicago? Yikes!
  15. hawkeye_wx
    UK is a bit south and more progressive.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    GFSv16
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Similar to the 00z Canadian, it leaves the stretched-out energy hanging over our region.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Looked like it would be north, but for eastern Iowa to Chicago it's nearly identical to the 12z and south of the 18z.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    GFSv16 is running again.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    UK well north, but also has the same problem as other models for areas farther east... although not nearly as bad as the GDPS.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    Has a big, moisture-laden storm lifting up toward Iowa, but then hits a brick wall.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    Weathermodels.com has at least the 18z Euro.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Canada low jumped south from the 00z run, so our system also jumped south.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    12z UK is going to be south.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro... as I mentioned above, this run the system peaks west, then the totals fade east as it occludes and shears out.
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