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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    As has been mentioned, this system has slowed a fair amount. 00z Euro ain't too bad, except it's occluding and weakening as the precip shield lifts into the Chicago-Detroit corridor.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    UK... a couple counties south of 12z, at least over here. Many in Iowa really need the energy to be able to lift north more before blocking causes the slide eastward.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Still a big dog, but significant jump south. The heavy band has shifted three counties south in Iowa.
  4. hawkeye_wx
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro digs the northern stream trough a bit more this run... have to think the end result will be south of the last two runs.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    12z UK... this track would make a lot of forum members happy.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    UK coming in way north, looks like the Euro. The northern stream trough swings back up into Canada and out of the way, allows the sw energy to lift northeast.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    The snow band is nearly the same, except the initial surge of mix into southeast Iowa pushes the band a little nw in my area.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro actually lifts the warm air aloft farther north this run, brings mix up to I-80 in Iowa. Whoa, this run is at least as good. The key seems to be the farther north Canadian trough, which gets out of the way and allows the sw energy to lift up into our region.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    Initial thought is the Euro will take a step back this run. The Canadian trough doesn't dig any more than last run, but the front piece of the western energy still gets pulled northeast, unlike this morning's run. Update: Or not.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    The UK doesn't look any better than the GFS/GDPS. It also still digs the Canadian trough across the border and picks up some of the western energy, which leads to the remaining western energy ejecting out suppressed.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    The Canadian trough digs a fair amount more into the upper midwest this run, which will likely kill the second wave for the I-80 corridor.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    The temp has surged across Iowa today. We started in the lower single digits, but we're now well into the 30s. SW Iowa is in the low 50s.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    Still plenty of duds in there.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS was initially showing an amped cutter for this weekend, which turned out to be garbage. Will it miss just as badly, but in the opposite direction, with wave 2?
  16. hawkeye_wx
    GDPS/Euro and GFS are on different planets. The UK is halfway between the planets.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    It was not a big storm, but it was one of my faves. It occurred on the same morning as the record -30º low temp on Jan 31, 2015. Here is what I posted then.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    The low here was around 4º this morning. The Cedar Rapids airport officially hit -2º, the first subzero of the season. A local met said this is the latest first subzero temp since 2002.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro has a wall through the entire period preventing anything from moving up into the lakes.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    Yep, the blocking has put the kibosh on the cutter/rain model runs of recent days.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    There has been discussion of Dec/Jan/Feb monthly snowfall trends over the last decade+ farther east in the lakes region, so I thought I'd check my data to see what my averages are. Starting with 2007-08, this is what I found. Dec: 9.3" Jan: 9.7" Feb: 11.7"
  22. hawkeye_wx
    Euro has a widespread couple inches from the weak first wave of moisture, then suppressed second wave, then slightly less suppressed third wave. The second and third waves are pretty far out, though.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro is much more suppressed than other models. The initial weakish overrunning is all snow for most of us, then the main storm is suppressed well south of I-80.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    Des Moines is up to about 30" this season. I'm at 23".
  25. hawkeye_wx
    The timing of the sw CONUS energy ejection will matter quite a bit. Last night's 00z Euro, on Jan 24th, had the energy already over the central plains. This morning's run has it off the coast of SoCal at the same time.
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