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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro runs, a day or two ago, that showed snow getting pulled back into Iowa were just a tease. The PV lobe is going to hang around longer and put the kibosh on that scenario.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    I picked up 1.3" later this afternoon into evening. 2-4" fell just north.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    There may be some crazy snow cover across the country following this pattern.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    The 00z UK is a carbon copy of the 12z Euro.... gets the PV lobe out of the way, cuts the sw upper energy nw into Iowa.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    Um..... The only problem is the surface front and deep moisture are still well-removed from the upper low center.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro looks like it's coming way nw with this.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    The period from last weekend through this weekend has turned into a big disappointment.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro is actually a bit north from 12z and is the best of the non-NAM models.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS has gone to sh*t over the last few runs. It barely has any snow at all now, certainly nothing in Iowa. One very notable trend over the last couple days of runs is for the moisture source to get whisked away, out of the picture, so there's little left for the PV to squeeze out.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    While the Des Moines to Cedar Rapids corridor has been ground zero for snow this winter, the Cedar River begins up in north-central IA into southern MN. That area has received much less snow.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    Models are mostly trying to bypass the western sub with the post-PV cutter. I would need the PV to exit more quickly and the incoming northern wave to slow down, which might create and opening for the strong southern wave to cut more nw.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    The 12z Euro is ok, but there's just not much moisture because the surface front (with waves riding along it) is way down in the Gulf of Mexico.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    The random bullish model runs have no follow-through. Usually, the very next run is a big jump back south.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    We need the PV lobe to delay its southward plunge for a day so the pacific wave has an opening. Something like the 06z GFS would be ideal.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    1.1" total here from only 0.03" liquid. That's a 36:1 ratio.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    A yellow band on radar has been parked over that area for a couple hours. 4-5+" reports are not surprising at all. I will have to settle for a bit over 1".
  17. hawkeye_wx
    I'm at about an inch so far. It's a bit clumpy. Unlike the disappointing 10:1 snow a couple days ago, this stuff is pure dandelion fluff.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Even here on the northern edge of the band, the flakes are large and floating down like feathers. I just wish it was heavier.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    The heavier snow has remained south of me so far. I'd really like it to lift north a bit.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    So, of course, the 00z Euro decides to flip to what the GFS had been doing and crushes any chance of any precip in our region. Ugh.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS has improved significantly next weekend. Hopefully, this wave will pan out better than the Superbowl wave train has.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    It's about -15º here in the city. The Cedar Rapids airport officially hit -20º
  23. hawkeye_wx
    I have received only 0.7" of snow this afternoon. I expected a bit better, but the ratio is lousy. The 0.7" of snow melted down to 0.07" liquid, so a 10:1 ratio.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    I only need about 15" (after today's snow) to break the Cedar Rapids record. Bring it on.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    All the models this morning are very active into the extended range.
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