Yeah the NAM scored on the warm nose but that eroded pretty quick. It was a mixed bag all over the SE. I know the guys in TN were not happy with the NAM because it was way to amped for them.
Yeah absolutely. The RGEM did a great job for the short range models. The NAM was too amped in a lot of places and definitely failed in GA. I mean not 1 model was saying Atlanta was getting 5 inches. Euro did end up doing well also.
It really wasn't a bust here. We've had several posters get 3 plus inches which is right in line for what the models showed. I'm sorry yall in the foothills got shadowed but the moisture feed wasn't right for yall and it showed. You need to go back and read through this thread and look at what people have posted on accumulations. It's very telling.
Yeah when I drove up Rush Fork and Fines Creek, I was amazed at how little snow they had. I had to go up to over 4k feet to find anything significant but then even going out to lower Max Patch rd it was putrid. This storm was wild.
IV got to say this has been one of the best weeks of winter weather we've had in a long time. Absolutely loving this week. Snowed everyday since Monday afternoon.
Just got back from this mornings adventure. It's snowing lightly with an additional .75 inches best I can tell because the wind is howling. Temp has dropped to 23 also.
This morning as I look at this event it really did well all in all. The Buncombe snow hole is real. The foothills did ok. But most along the border and from Haywood south did very well. Most saw between 3 to 6 inches plus and that's a huge win in my book. The NAM did verify to a point but so did the Euro AI and the GFS. This was a win for most of us and it ended the snow drought for many.
I think we actually will continue to see snow despite the radar for a good portion of the night. That low level moisture will continue to feed over the mountains.
I'll wait until tomorrow morning to post my assessment but it seems like I was wrong about the NAM. I'll admit that I should have looked at it harder. I'm still happy with today though.