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Everything posted by Met1985
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah we sit in a better spot for sure. You'll probably be on the line on big snow or slop but in the valley or flat lands I don't see it. -
Yeah I just posted the cmc snow map and it gets yall involved and to me a more realistic look at this point. I think it does slow especially when turning negative tilt.
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Realistically I see the cmc working out much more than I do the gfs. I really don't see down East getting that much snow with marginal temps outside the foothills. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
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I do think it's being too progressive at this point. I think it'll correct today or tomorrow.
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Yeah you are possible right. Especially in February there may be something weird about it.
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
For what it's worth this is the latest Icon model. A decent hit for most. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk -
That's a great question for sure Carver. Im not sure myself but maybe @GaWx could come up with something.
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
This run is very similar to the 06z run. Looks like a big hit further east and into Upstate SC. The piedmont looks good also. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Currently this run is further south and we are just on the northern edge of the precip shield. Mostly rain. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
At hour 75 its a 5 contour storm that is very similar to the recent runs. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
At hour 60 we have 1 closed countour low forming. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
So far so good. Like Hunter said we don't want to be the bullseye at this point because there will still be jostling going on. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
The 18z gfs has some great support from its ensembles also. All good signs so far today. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Great trends on all the models today but lets get this inside 3 days. This is one of those systems where things are going to have to fall our way to pull in colder air into the system. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
With the euro bringing the mjo into phase 8 towards the end of the month then we have a possible major ssw coming. Also we might get a Nino spring which is usually cold for us. I really don't see signs of spring in the future. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah I think spring starts late. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States