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Gravity Wave

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Everything posted by Gravity Wave

  1. Gravity Wave
    I have to say the big short terms busts on rain events aren't filling me with confidence in the models for the winter.
  2. Gravity Wave
    Summer is the worst season by far in NYC, always glad for it to end.
  3. Gravity Wave
    Have had some heavy downpours here but not much left per the radar.
  4. Gravity Wave
    Our best severe outbreaks usually happen under slight risks. I admit this isn't the most favorable setup given the PFT timing.
  5. Gravity Wave
    Interesting, we didn't get any hail up here that I heard.
  6. Gravity Wave
    The entire coast from Cape Hatteras to Cape Cod is overdue for an impactful Hurricane strike (I don't really count Sandy, and definitely don't count Irene). Another stretch like 1938-1955 would be ugly.
  7. Gravity Wave
    A couple nasty looking cells there.
  8. Gravity Wave
    Here we go.
  9. Gravity Wave
    Looks like some action ahead of the main line in SEPA. What could become our MCS is still west of Harrisburg.
  10. Gravity Wave
    The severe indices being forecasted for later in PA are actually quite impressive by this region's standards. 3000 CAPE, -9 LI and EHI 6+ in some places. Lapse rates less noteworthy but still decent.
  11. Gravity Wave
    Still time for those trailing storm currently over SEPA to turn into something but it looks like the rule that our best severe events happen during Slight risks is going to hold.
  12. Gravity Wave
    That's the site I use, here's the link for the Fort Dix radar: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=DIX-N0Q-0-6-100-usa-rad
  13. Gravity Wave
    Pop-up thundershower in Manhattan just now.
  14. Gravity Wave
    Day 2 Enhanced!
  15. Gravity Wave
    I remember tracking storms growing up in eastern PA and dealing with a lack of good radar data once they crossed the Susquehanna until they were almost on top of us in the Lehigh Valley, especially if they were approaching from the NW. It's an underrated radar hole, especially when you consider that the areas impacted are quite populated and growing rapidly.
  16. Gravity Wave
    Yeah you got a little more banding than we did overnight. The final gradient between NENJ/the LHV and eastern Queens/Nassau is going to be dramatic.
  17. Gravity Wave
    Yes, the park has 0.86 LE as of 1:00 so probably 10" there, I'd say we have 8-9" on the East side (due to losing more from melt at the start of the storm). I can't imagine other parts of the city having much less than that.
  18. Gravity Wave
    Approaching an inch here, side streets starting to get covered. Snow has gotten appreciably heavier recently, looks like the frontogenesis and banding is getting a little further west than expected.
  19. Gravity Wave
    A month of great blocking and we couldn't buy a drop of precip. Now the storm train is rolling and there's an express track from NC out into the Atlantic.
  20. Gravity Wave
    Low gets closed off east of the Delmarva Saturday morning. WOW.
  21. Gravity Wave
    We have 24-36 hours worth of runs to get that deform band 30 miles west.
  22. Gravity Wave
    Hopefully we can get the CMC and UKMET to bite tonight, that would make the GFS a massive outlier.
  23. Gravity Wave
    I wonder how much further west we could get this to go. Even small shifts cause huge changes in snow totals.
  24. Gravity Wave
    The position of the 700 mb low is perfect for NYC on the NAM.
  25. Gravity Wave
    Wow NAM looks great, even if it's at the end of its range.
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