HighStakes

12z GFS was colder. PSU mentioned models are starting to meet in the middle which won't get it done. It's not hopeless yet though. This should be the type of system that if it does take a decent track any area that gets heavy precip. and has some elevation would be in the game for some snow.

Cloudy and stuck at 30.

Thread the needle? Lol.

It appears that we had the slightest of dustings here overnight.

Yeah, not great but it did get a good deal wetter up here.

This is still our best shot so far! I really don't see it as a thread the needle type deal.

I get it! I'm just as frustrated and aggrevated as anyone. What bothers me is that you have a handful of bad posters that have no trouble spending hours on this board yet they don't seem to have any time to really learn and as result their posts stink. Sure, it's ok to vent a little but on the other hand try to become educated. We're lucky to have some of the best insight and knowledge available through some fantastic posters and red taggers. I have noticed that you personally have made an effort to learn and you ask some good questions. We just need a few more regulars to follow suit.

Absolutely horrendous!

Big change on 12z Euro ensemble charts regarding EPO. After days of positive to neutral it finally brings it in solid negative territory. All other indices appears to be lining up as well.

I ended up with 26-28 inches. Hour after hour of sustained 2-3 inch per hour rates. If memory serves correct most of the snow fell in a 12 hour period between 5:00 a.m. and 5:00 p.m.

Sorry to hear this Bob. Hang in there. Better days ahead. Hopefully a few snowy ones!

Last 2 run of Euro ensembles backed off slightly on the EPO going negative. It still has it going down but keeps it positive where before it clearly had it neutral to going negative. Let's hope it returns to the looks we were getting before today. Way too early to tell is the new pattern is just meh. AO appears to be negative and PNA firmly positive by the 8th. Last 2 run also also backed off a bit on a -NAO but still has it clise to neutral. We'll see.

I haven't read through this thread very carefully but my post was focused on the data from 1989 until present. You can't deny that those numbers are very concerning. We're talking about almost half of the last 33 winters producing extremely low numbers. For instance if the numbers went from 9 to 11 then it can be dismissed or chalked up to random occurrence but 9 to 16 is almost double and has to be strongly accepted as something greater involved.

16 winters over a 33/34 year span that resulted in single digit amounts is outright atrocious coicidence or not. That can't just be getting unlucky. I understand it's a small sample size but it's the most recent 33 year period in the discussion. Very alarming. I knew DCA has been bad recently but when you see it on the chart it becomes shocking. Very alarming. One can hope hope it's a cyclical type deal but common sense says otherwise.

Flurries and 26.

Very light snow!

Teleconnections off today's 12z Euro look pretty good in the extended. EPO heads towards negative, PNA stays positive while AO and NAO remain neutral to slightly positive. That could work well for us and could ( emphasize could ) lock in for a couple weeks coinciding with our coldest seasonal averages. Fingers crossed for a nice mini heater from second week of through the end of the month. Let's hope indices stay on track.

I think it was 2018/2019 winter also.

Yeah, I forgot which year but it was a recent winter in the last 5 years where we had 2 or 3 juicy systems that took a perfect track and we rained with every one. Nothing on the front end or back end. Just couldn't tap any cold and they all failed.

I think that storm still works because the main show was the deform band that cranked for several hours. I would hope that would still enable temps to crash enough. Now the 1st part of that storm might be a different story. That would probably be rain for areas around the cities.

Single digits by 7 p.m.

Another issue in the passing game often overlooked is that our offense line is built to run block and are generally a poor pass blocking line. Even if we had a better receiving core our QB's would still be under pressure more than not. We rarely form a clean pocket and when we do Huntley has poor awareness and footwork. You dont see him step up or use a subtle side step to avoid pressure. After his first progression he often breaks and leaves the pocket. His arm strength is average and that's being generous. Our receivers are pretty bad and run bad routes but when they are open Huntley doesnt see them. Lamar has his own problems in the passing game but he's far superior to Huntley despite what some people think. It's not even close and that's accounting for Lamar's poor accuracy at times and inconsistent footwork when stepping into his throws. We have no chance without him. I wouldn't discount them from winning a playoff game. Lamar can carry the team for a game especially against a Tennessee or some other average team assuming the knee is healthy enough. Lamar makes enough big play to overcome his poor passing for 1 game but unfortunately not enough to make a run deep into the playoffs.

Weren't you just ready for Spring yesterday?

My goodness!! This run has northern MD in the low 50's at 7 a.m. and 15 degrees at 1 p.m. with snow falling.

By no means was that a good winter but it certainly wasn't the worst. Knowing what we know now considering how difficult it seems to get snow, some of us may sign up for that winter again. As usual it was much better for N and W. December was cold and we missed on a couple chances. There was a decent event on the 19th Of December or thereabouts that produced 2-5 inches and it was a true anafront set-up. Another small system in earlyish January produced 1-3 inches. Suburbs got 4-8 from a decent storm the 3rd week of January. February was bad but we just missed on an early February storm where temps were just a touch too warm but I still got 2-3 living in Reisterstown at the time. Westminster/Manchester got 4-7. Then there was a moderate event 3rd week of February that produced 3-6 and it was a cold storm too for later in the season. Won't mention March for obvious reasons.