HighStakes

This appeared on my FB feed for the first time ever out of nowhere.

Sounds good to me! I agree when it comes to ratios up here. Even in more marginal events we tend to get 10:1/12:1. A lot of times we do even better than 15:1 as long as were not getting pine needles lol. If we get into good banding we can do 20:1. I would love to see the back end trend a bit better. We could really go to town on ratios with that. I think this will be a fun event. So far this year just feels different from the past several. Most of the sub forum should be satisfied when it's all said and done.

Reasonable. 4 is my bar. Hoping of course for 6 plus. Anything less than 4 will be disappointing considering how much time we have vested in this event.

I think I'll ride the Euro for this one.

Can't say enough how great it is have legit cold settle in 48 hours before knowing every flake counts.

Several inches on top of whatever falls on Monday would be tremendous especially after years of futility we've endured. It's always great to be tracking the next event before the first one is done. There probably is a limit on how big this one can get but who cares. Looks like another cold storm too. We need to capitalize on this pattern.

It was a decent month and I think 1 storm was a low end warning level but we completely got shut out on the 1st storm with a sharp cut off.

Exactly! They all freak out when they're not in the bullseye every run of every model.

Maybe he means for the entire month? As far as 1/3/22 I never got a flurry. I think Reisterstown got around 2.

The driest and furthest south models still give you 4 inches. That's not a bad place to be in.

Steady snow. No problem sticking on cold surfaces. 33.

For the northern crew, going off the Euro only, things don't look as bad as some might portray. Surface temps are in the low 20's throughout but more importantly 850's are -8. Pretty reasonable to expect 15-18 to 1 ratios. As long as expectations are reasonable we're still very much in the game for 4-6 with the very strong possibility this nudges further north. If we get .3-.4 liquid were good to go. Accumulated snow still gets well into PA even on the south/dry runs. The upside is much better than the downside with this event in my opinion. Plus something like GFS is showing isn't completely out of the question.

Flurries/light snow.

Quite possibly.

Can't wait for the Watch to be issued. Early Saturday a.m.?

Outstanding!

Nice start to our wintry pattern! Just 33 here with flurries.

Impressive cold following the storm all next week.

He already referenced it once!

If anyone is lucky enough to get 6-8 inches of snow with a solid coating of ice that would be incredible. With the post storm cold and other storm chances there would be snow cover for the entire month of January. Who could complain about that?

Most of Monday's snow is light. The heaviest falls overnight Sunday.

That Euro run just became a 24 hour event. Snow would start late afternoon Sunday.

What's the over/under on how many times Weather53 says Mongolian or Mongol in the next 3 weeks. My guess is 17. Lol.

Euro seems a good bit faster having snow over spread the area Sunday night.

Good recall! Lol.