HighStakes

One thing that I really like seeing is the precipation firmeld is very broad. Lighter snows spread well north and west of the LP center. As of now those of us further north are not fighting a sharp cutoff if the more SE solutions comes to fruition. Not going to take a lot of liquid to produce several inches.

I disagree about the GFS and Euro trending the same way. This solution by the GFS was totally opposite of the Euro. Tonight's GFS keyed on another feature and was 12 hours slower than its own 18z run. Euro was simply squashed. I actually feel really good on everyone' chances. Just way too early to be overly concerned.

I really like this set up. There's a lot to like about this potential if you're expectations are realistic. A moderate snowstorm with a SECS upside is very much alive.

@psuhoffmanThe 1/22/87 was one of my favorites. I think you're few years younger than me so I'm not sure how much you remember about the storm and the forecast leading up to it. My best recollection was that it was poorly forecasted. I believe there was a lot of uncertainty right up to game time. Most calls for the Baltimore area was for 2-4 with some 3-6 with a change to rain. Pretty sure schools started out with a 2 hour delay then changed to closed. By mid-morning light snow transitioned into heavy snow. By noon temperatures began falling making it evident there would be no changeover. Snow remained heavy hour after hour. Rates were at least 2 inches an hour at times. There was thunder snow during the afternoon. NWS played catch up all day. 3-6 became 4-8 then 6-12 and finally 12-18. Snow tapered off by evening with totals where I lived 1 mile north of the beltway in Pikesville/Owings Mills in the 16-18 range. BWI was officially 12. Phenomenal storm which for me had scaled down similarities to the 83 storm. 83 was colder and of course had much higher totals but 87 was similar in duration and sustained snowfall intensity rates. Also heck of an arctic shot behind the storm which led to perhaps one of the driest snows I've ever experienced just 3 days later on Superbowl Sunday. That follow-up storm gave me about 6 of cold smoke powder. Our current area was probably fringed a bit lol. with 4 or so. Just to the south and southeast got much heavier amounts. Great little stretch of intense winter that would essentially be it for the winter other than the Feb. 87 wet snow paste job.

Our first real chance since Feb. 2015 at sustained "deep winter" if everything comes together with the caveat of it occurring in the heart of winter and extending into our best climo period.

How about the early Feb. 96 storm. Maybe some similarities with that one also. Regardless I'm just happy to see legit cold across the region.

Also reminds me of a scaled down version of 1/25-26/87. That was a cold storm as well.

Nice to finally see that cold will not be the problem if the event materializes.

Definitely a cold run.

Sounds like Feb. 1978. Baltimore north gets crushed! DC gets a dusting.

12/11: 3.0 1/6: .8 Total: 3.8

Just under an inch. Never could get any decent rates sustained.

Goop point! I was think about that game against Pittsburgh from 2019 earlier. Hopefully the bye will be handled better this go round. Lamar is much more experienced and seems laser focused. Also we have Roquan now. I think the preparation for whoever we face will be much better than 2019. For me personally this loss stung. I made a pre-season bet the Ravens would win over 3.5 games within the division.

Nobody would believe before the season that we would get the number 1 seed but finish 3-3 in the division and lose to Pittsburgh twice!

Very annoying. Also would be nice to not let 10 yards every run play despite some key players sitting out

Some snow is mixing back in.

Nice! Good to see some are getting a decent event.

Absolutely amazing how the models haven't waffled at all on Tuesday's storm from over a week ago. A rainstorm of course!

Closing in on an inch.

All snow still. Tries to become moderate at times.

Light snow. Heavy dusting.

If we are to believe all the top analogs for this year one wouldn't expect a sustained winter pattern to set in until around the 18th. If we can rival 66,87 and a couple others thrown out which I think is still very much on the table then anything before the 18th is gravy. If we get to that date and it's delayed again then we have a problem. All the big teleconnections are lining up nicely in about a week. Hopefully they stay on course.

I thought this was a joke so I had to check it out myself. I can't believe he has 80k followers. Unreal!! I guess in this era of social media everyone has a platform. Lol.

Few flurries at the moment.

I went to my friends birthday party in Cockeysville/Hunt Valley the night after the storm and the snow depth was about the same as in Reisterstown.