Snowstorms

Thick low level clouds keeping temps around 36F.

Merry Christmas everyone, hope it's a blessed one!

We had a couple inches on the ground 2-3 days ago, it has all but melted. It was 48F yesterday lol. St. John's about to get a blizzard tonight. Merry Christmas!

Would be a big score for the GFS if this ends up being the final outcome.

2 years ago we had that Christmas eve snowstorm. It wasn't a big storm, but it still dropped a couple inches for some of us.

Since 2014 we've been in a +ENSO feature across the region. 2016-17 was a borderline La Nina and the 2017-18 La Nina barely lasted 6 months. If we take away those years, the last true La Nina event was 2011-12. Cold Decembers are more closely correlated with La Nina's so unless next year is a decent La Nina, the chances of another crappy December are higher than usual.

I thought jet extensions are more common in Nino's and jet retractions are commonly observed in Nina's?

Nothing new to see here. That map looks like almost every December since 2010.

The lack of snow has gotten to Hoosier's head, that he's starting to believe the GFS is right.

Leasing is good if you plan to switch cars every few years. It's the same concept as renting a condo, its not yours, unless you plan to buy it at the end of the lease term. Financing is good if you plan to keep it long-term (>4 years).

This is probably the sunniest Christmas week I can remember, lol.

Avg price of houses in Toronto is around $1,000,000. Guess we ain't the only ones. Sucks nowadays.

Euro is zzzz through the 27th.

The last time we saw a consistently cold and snowy winter from late Nov till March was 2013-14. And can you believe that winter was more than 5 years ago? Other winters since then: 2014-15: Nov, Jan-March 2015-16: Don't get me started 2016-17: Mostly Dec, the rest was just torch city 2017-18: All around decent minus mid Jan and second half of Feb 2018-19: Nov, Jan-early March Prior to 13-14, the only other consistent winters in recent times were 10-11 and 08-09. Ironically all 3 of them were cold neutrals or Nina's.

Yeah Worcester has 25.3" this month. Seems like elite territory. It would be for most of us in the Lakes region.

Just measured 2.8" right now. This wasn't picked up by any model btw. It's still snowing so I'd suspect we'll hit 3.0" when all is said and done. A few pics I took about an hour ago, around the Vaughan/Brampton border (5 minutes north of Toronto proper).

I was just scrolling through the New England forum and saw that this December is one of their top snowiest, not the snowiest ever. Some places are around 25-30+" already, lol. As Hoosier said, Nino Decembers are hit or miss unlike Nina's.

Nice little burst of snow this morning. 1-2" possible across the GTA.

While some of us are dealing with a snowless and uneventful December, parts of the NE and New England are having one of their snowiest Decembers, lol. Quite the contrast.

I think none of us at this point would mind a repeat of the Jan 99 storm. This month would become a distant memory if it happened.

The total accumulated precip map looks the same too. Legit not even a clipper or a fantasy 360 hr storm.

That Pacific pattern (jet streak below) gotta change and until it doesn't, we're going to be stuck in this regime. On the bright side, the GEFS is trying to build a ridge around Alaska near the end of December which should hopefully allow for a -EPO to develop. Anything to get out of this storm-less pattern.

A weak Nina or cold neutral would do good for most of us especially after a +ENSO season. The strong +IOD is definitely playing a role in strengthening the Pacific Jet which is also correlated with +ENSO anomalies. It's been a mediocre month. Hoping for a turn around come January-February. On a side note, would be nice to experience a Nor'easter as the biggest storms up here are usually between 12-16". Cheers!

Euro still remains storm free past Christmas.

12 years ago today, I remember the infamous winter storm that dropped 8-12+" from SEMI to the GTA. If only we could get a repeat, lol.