Snowstorms

Jan 2020 was the 4th warmest Jan on record at YYZ. Only 2006, 2002 and 1990 were warmer. But if we go back to 1840, when records began in Toronto, it's not even top 20. Snow wise, YYZ finished with 12.0". It was the second wettest Jan on record with 5.1" at YYZ.

As it stands right now, all the models expect UKIE are too far east for any respectable snow in the GTA.

Morch 2.0.

~1.5" at YYZ today. 1.6" in my backyard and still snowing.

Nice model battle going on right now. Euro and UKMET have a well defined storm whereas the CMC is bit too progressive and the GFS is too far east. We should get better model consensus tom night and Mon 12z as the storm gets fully sampled.

0.6" at YYZ with some light snow this evening. HRRR has another 1-2" tom with a weak clipper moving through.

Leafs vs. Rangers next Wed. It's gonna be a good game.

The GFS is king at trolling. The Euro is somewhat realistic sometimes.

01-02, 06-07, 09-10, 11-12 and 15-16 were the real shitty winters. Here's a list of our least snowiest winters on record, in sequence, going back to 1937. (1) 11-12 (2) 09-10 (3) 52-53 (4) 06-07 (5) 15-16 Beavis would go nuts if he experienced that ^.

They get excited because they're so heavily dependent on those big storms. Their snowfall average isn't as uniform as Detroit. Look back at 09-10 or 15-16 when they had those big storms. I'm sure it didn't last longer than a week on the ground lol. Our geography helps us out quite a bit. Hence why we see a lot of smaller events (2" - 6") every winter. And then occasionally we get a big storm or two (8+"). This winter outside of a few events has been a joke. It's been exceptionally warm and is up there with 11-12 and 01-02 in recent years. Up here in Toronto our snowfall average since 1990 has actually been declining and part of that is because of some shit winters. Namely 94-95, 97-98, 01-02, 05-06, 06-07, 09-10, 11-12, 15-16 and 16-17.

Winnipeg averages 45" over 9 months (Sept-May). Winnipeg is super cold though. However, Boston depends heavily on Nor'easter's which can make or break their winter season. Our climo is a bit different. Our storms aren't as big but we usually get more clippers or smaller events when they get rain. Snow cover isn't as common in Boston either unless you're in Worcester or something. I'm sure they wouldn't trade a 25" blizzard for snow cover and a 4" storm lol.

Reminds me of Feb. 2018. Multiple waves back to back but nothing extraordinary.

Better to be on the rainy side than the snowy side (sweet spot) this far out.

94-95 was shit. Just reverse Feb with Dec.

Opposite here. Over 4" of rain this month. I'd gladly trade.

Some weenies have reached their breaking point.

Thanks for the correction!

In a normal winter, a ridge like that only happens before a storm cuts through Superior. But this winter defies all odds.

Fair point. But there are things that may work in your favor. The transitioning NAO and PNA may help to suppress the developing SE ridge somewhat. February has been our best month in recent years lol.

That's something Alek would say, not Hoosier.

Only ~180 hours out. What could possibly go wrong?

That's if there's a storm worthy of a thread.

I agree, they've been horrible. What about the weeklies or EPS?

Fair point. A lot of people stay trapped indoors through-out the winter season instead of trying to enjoy it as you mentioned. I'm planning on going up north in a week or two to go snowmobiling (for the first time). Gotta make the best out of every season. Hoping we see more sustained cold and snow next season.

So that explains why you're so optimistic despite the lacklustre weather pattern.