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Snowstorms

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Everything posted by Snowstorms

  1. Snowstorms
    Really? I'm assuming it must be related to wind direction. A W or WNW wind wouldn't really do you justice when it comes to lake effect.
  2. Snowstorms
    YYZ reported SN from 11 am to 1 pm. -SN now but I suspect we'll be back to SN soon.
  3. Snowstorms
    Geez, how much did you get? Next week could bring something as a ridge develops over Hudson Bay and limits how far north the next storm gets. We'll see.
  4. Snowstorms
    Toronto called the army in "99 after ~120cm (47") fell in less than 2 weeks. Now that's a joke.
  5. Snowstorms
    You guys had it rough that year with Hurricane Juan and White Juan. Wonder what they will call this storm in NL.
  6. Snowstorms
    Total rippage near OttawaB. He must be frolicking.
  7. Snowstorms
    Latest HRRR has 6-8" for the GTA. 6" seems like a good bet.
  8. Snowstorms
    Latest update is 74cm at YYT. Wow! Hope you doing good. Would be nice to experience a blizzard like that.
  9. Snowstorms
    ^^Canuck is chilling in Aruba I believe.
  10. Snowstorms
    As per Wunderground radar it looks like the freezing rain line is still south of you in Central Illinois. Must be localized?
  11. Snowstorms
    OT but St. John's, Newfoundland has received ~30" at last obs. Crazy blizzard going on there rn. I can't imagine a storm like that in our region. It would be crazy!!
  12. Snowstorms
    Snowfall warning issued for all of Southern Ontario. Latest NAM and HRRR have 6-8" for the GTA. Feeling more confident with ~6" for the GTA, ~7" for Windsor and ~4-5" for Hamilton.
  13. Snowstorms
    RGEM and Euro remain bullish with 5-7" locally. Still not within HRRR range.
  14. Snowstorms
    Both Euro and CMC showing 8" at YYZ. I'm still sticking with my 4-6" call for now.
  15. Snowstorms
    2015-16 and 2016-17 were pretty abysmal outside of Dec 16 locally. It feels like our winters are getting shorter.
  16. Snowstorms
    RGEM with 6" through 48 hours for me and still snowing. I'll take it and run.
  17. Snowstorms
    That winter was a moderate La Nina. Totally different atmospheric set-up despite the similar anomalies.
  18. Snowstorms
    The Euro says it's an early spring before the Groundhog could even make a point.
  19. Snowstorms
    Too much Niño influence on the pattern since the 2015-16 super Niño. We haven't had a sustained cold winter since 2014-15. Need a Niña with some AO/NAO blocking like 2010-11, 2008-09, 2000-01 or 1995-96 to set the balance right for a cold winter.
  20. Snowstorms
    As per the Euro, the cold air doesn't last long and by the 22nd, we're above freezing again. This is in part due to the jet cutting overtop of the region and a lack of blocking in the Pacific. It almost resembles a -PNA in the west. And instead of a 50/50 Low off the coast of Newfoundland, there's a massive ridge at 192 hrs. There's nothing amazing about this pattern or set-up. Edit: By 216hrs the entire nation is flooded with warm pacific air while the cold air retreats to the Arctic.
  21. Snowstorms
    The HRDPS (higher resolution) shows 3-4" in Chicago with snow still falling at 48 hrs. https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrdps&region=ncus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2020011612&fh=48
  22. Snowstorms
    Based on latest trends, I would seem to think 4-6" is a good call for the GTA. If a solution like the GFS pans out with warmer sfc temps then I'd lean closer to 4". However, a majority of the other models keep us below freezing and if that were to pan out, I wouldn't be surprised to see some localized amounts near 7-8". Still riding 4-6".
  23. Snowstorms
    Geez that's crazy, but it wouldn't surprise me. Even up this way we've only had 10 days below freezing since Dec 1 and a 3" rainer a couple days ago lol. Terrible.
  24. Snowstorms
    Its time for spring.
  25. Snowstorms
    Should be some decent sampling by tonight's 00z runs. So take it fwiw.
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