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Snowstorms

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Everything posted by Snowstorms

  1. Snowstorms
    00Z NAM with ~10" for Toronto. Let me enjoy this before we get robbed like Chicago.
  2. Snowstorms
    Not happening. Cut that in half and it still seems unbelievable. I'm going with 4-6" of wet snow for now. We're riding the thin line at the surface coupled with warm ground temperatures.
  3. Snowstorms
    Sucks to see Chicago get shafted again and again. Just brutal. Models have been awful this year even within 36-48 hrs.
  4. Snowstorms
    I'd say closer to 4" near the Lake and more north of 401. We're riding the thin line again but a majority of the precip comes in late Wed and that gives us ample time to cool the thermals. Going with 4-6" for now.
  5. Snowstorms
    I've seen this before. There's always that one NAM run that makes you piss your pants until the next one knocks you back down to reality.
  6. Snowstorms
    Jan 10-12 was a quality thread rainer.
  7. Snowstorms
    NAM has a donut hole over Toronto. But a decent 3-5" away from the Lake. The storm evolved differently this run than previous runs. Regardless, ratios will likely be 8:1.
  8. Snowstorms
    The last time it was 57 here was back in October lol. I'll take that right now.
  9. Snowstorms
    I agree. After today's 48F, I'm content with that. Ready for Spring. Little icing on the cake to go above avg in an incredibly warm winter. Not something you would normally expect.
  10. Snowstorms
    Ukie is a good hit for us.
  11. Snowstorms
    Latest CMC is much cooler but weaker for the GTA. Has ~4-5" across the area. The difference is quite noticeable at 500mb.
  12. Snowstorms
    Would be crazy if the GFS ends up verifying. Still within the realm of possibilities.
  13. Snowstorms
  14. Snowstorms
    I'll take the 00z Euro. But set-up seems unusual.
  15. Snowstorms
    ~2" at YYZ. Just like every other event this winter.
  16. Snowstorms
    Latest HRRR has backed off a bit on snowfall across the GTA. 2" still looks good.
  17. Snowstorms
    Aside from Nov, this winter has been pretty warm. Only 13 days since Dec 1 with overnight lows below -10C. We avg ~39 days by the end of Feb. Maybe we'll get lucky now and see a nice warm summer like 2002 or 2012 haha.
  18. Snowstorms
    Rest of the week is zzzzz.
  19. Snowstorms
    This winter is up there with 2011-12 and 2001-02 in terms of warmth. Well deserved after all the garbage winters we've been through in the last decade or two. Majority of the precip should fall tonight. Temps won't be an issue and any changeover will only be light drizzle tom morning. Wouldn't be surprised to see 3" across much of the area.
  20. Snowstorms
    HRRR and other models like RGEM are keeping sfc temps around the freezing mark and upper air temps below freezing across the GTA tom night into Tues morning. This would increase the chances of accumulating snowfall esp north of 401. Preliminary call 2". However, it all comes down to temps as we're riding the thin line here. HRRR has ~4" by Tues afternoon.
  21. Snowstorms
    @Chicago Storm
  22. Snowstorms
    Looking like a rainer
  23. Snowstorms
    -5.1F this morning at YYZ. Coldest night of the season. Can't believe we actually made it lol.
  24. Snowstorms
    Anything but that miserable Mar 2017.
  25. Snowstorms
    A whopping 1". Now for some bone-chilling cold tonight before we're back up above freezing by Monday.
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