We've also seen this play before. Most all of our biggest storms were "south" at this point in the model runs. Not a guarantee it will come north, but it's kind of like having, say, Tom Brady or Patrick Mahomes down 5 entering the 4th quarter.
2003 was traumatic for me (in Boston). We planned a PD weekend getaway to Montreal area and I tracked the huge mid-atlantic storm for a week sad I was going to miss the 6-12" fringe targeting SNE. It was only Friday when it became apparent what was going to happen. You know the rest. We sat in Quebec under -20 temps while Boston broke the '78 snowfall record.
I just walked from Amsterdam back over to Riverside and it was very cool to really notice the microclimate we have over here - was sticking much more easily to sidewalks and cars.
at this point I've completely lost track of whether there is anything to care about. I'm just assuming it's going to be cloudy with some light snow maybe.
Because there is a long and well-established tradition of creating threads for storms only when there is stronger model support. like... more than one? Not saying it won't happen, but cluttering up the board with threads for storms that could be gone by 18z is a thing the community decided it didn't want.
OG's will remember once upon a time there were threads for each model run when big dogs were incoming.
Legit trauma from 12/30/2000 in Boston. went from 9-14" to 0.0. Only bust I can recall in my life that left bare ground after a high end WSW. if you drove West on the Mass Pike it was 10" by Rt 95/128.
Among other things, it led to serious deforestation of the island for firewood.
https://www.gothamcenter.org/blog/war-weary-nature-environment-british-occupation-and-the-winter-of-1779-1780
Was watching the Ken Burns Revolutionary War series last night and they got to the winter of 1779-80. Hudson so frozen over you could just walk to New Jersey. Can you even imagine?
In Boston (proper) the 12/30/2000 was a horrific Blutarski 0.0 bust, so paired with the March storm (which was still impactful but not the son of '78 we were promised) they were kick-in-the-nuts bookends to the season.
Just getting online and was going to report my storm total estimate of about 3" when I see CPK recorded 4.3". LOL... It's definitely not as deep as the one two weeks ago, though clearly more dense/ more WE.