andyhb
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Everything posted by andyhb
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That is classic for a significant Great Lakes severe event. Timing/destabilization pending of course.
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Wednesday has potential to be significant in the Lakes if there’s enough destabilization, 500 mb setup is consistent with some of the bigger early season events in the area.
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2 additional fatalities in Owen Co. IN.
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One limiting factor with this may be mixing if we get near the progged high temperatures from some of the models. LCL heights would be an issue.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
andyhb replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Reports out of Sussex Co. DE are not good.- 2,785 replies
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- 3
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- severe
- thunderstorms
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Amazingly high probabilities of STP ≥ 5 over a large area for Tuesday 81 hours out from the 15z SREF. Never seen anything like that at this range.
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Strong tornado passing very close to the DOX radar right now.
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HRRR is trying for Mullica Hill part II. Parameter space around that modeled cell is impressive if it does go.
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That's at 03z and also I have strong doubt that it is going to be 66 degrees at that time given the magnitude of WAA with this trough. NAM tends to be cold biased.
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Sullivan IN tornado prelim EF3, 155 mph per IND.
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The CSU MLP for Tuesday is absolutely maxed out. Two 60+% areas across AR and closer to the low in MO/IA/IL. First time I’ve seen that.
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At least 7 dead in McNairy Co. TN from the long tracked tornado last night (the one Fred Gossage was covering). At least 3 dead in Robinson IL and 3 dead in Sullivan IN. 4 dead in Wynne AR.
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This video is incredible. Deserves more exposure.
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Another strong tornado in progress near the AL/TN state line north of Hazel Green.
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2 dead in Sullivan IN per police thus far.
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Robinson IL tornado from earlier.
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Not good in SW IN.
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Fred Gossage (alumni from here) has a large wedge tornado near Clifton on this stream.
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https://t.co/kwW04YxofI Video of the Robinson/Palestine IL tornado from earlier (may be the same as the Sullivan tornado).
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Sullivan tornado had debris evident at 29k feet from KLOT after it struck town. Was likely violent. Initial reports are not good.
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Sullivan IN just took a direct hit. TDS exploded.
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Violent tornado in progress near Robinson IL. Large debris ball. Edit: Tornado emergency, 5th of the day.
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Two tornadoes with the storm E of Springfield IL, one of them may head towards Decatur.
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Large and potentially violent tornado near Covington TN.
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An absolute beast.
