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kayman

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Everything posted by kayman

  1. The other storm below the confirmed tornadic storm
  2. It's over Talladega National Forest but it's headed towards northern Chilton County which is populated.
  3. The new Shelby County/Talladega County storm near Vincent, AL has a Svr. T'Storm Warning. However it's showing signs again rotation. It's a QLCS looking storm. It's the storm cluster that did produce the confirmed tornadoes near Duncanville, AL.
  4. Tied to the Bibb/Perry County confirmed tornado into Chilton County, AL
  5. PDS Tornado Warning for the Bibb/Perry County storm by NWS BMX
  6. These strong cells within the line is breaking up into individual supercells. This one further south
  7. The wx chat is stating the storm that went through Greensboro, AL is cycling but still has very strong rotation in southern Bibb & northern Perry counties, AL.
  8. The Greensboro, AL storm is shifting more north than east though it's still confirmed by NWS BMX
  9. Another one, this one has a very large hail potential
  10. Storm that passed through Greensboro, AL still has a debris signature via BMX NEXRAD
  11. Confirmed tornado in Greensboro, AL by the city officials
  12. Mesoscale Discussion concerning Metro Atlanta Mesoscale Discussion 0052 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1052 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023 Areas affected...east central Alabama and western Georgia Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 121652Z - 121745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Tornado threat continues along the eastern advancing line of storms which is expected to move into east central Alabama/Georgia later today. DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms continues to advance eastward through northern Alabama. Within this line, transient circulations have been noted on radar. Ahead of this line, the KMXX (Maxwell Air Force Base) VAD profile depicts 0-1 km storm relative helicity around 150-200 m2/s2. 15z RAOB from BMX indicates upstream 0-1km SRH around 300 m2/s2. The wind field over eastern Alabama/Georgia is expected to increase through the afternoon as flow aloft increases in the next few hours. RAP analysis shows 850 mb winds increasing to around 45-50 kts by 19-20z. Surface objective analysis indicates surface based CAPE around 1000-1500 j/kg across this region and the convective inhibition is reduced. This environment will continue to be conducive to tornado development within the line of storms, with the threat gradually spreading east through the afternoon. A Tornado Watch downstream of WW17 will likely be needed for portions of eastern Alabama and western Georgia this afternoon. ..Thornton/Guyer.. 01/12/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX... LAT...LON 32228624 32468645 32848643 33418613 33928581 34258553 34608500 34648467 34618443 34608431 34468395 33988408 33708415 33468428 33308438 33058449 32698472 32508486 32178529 32108566 32118601 32228624
  13. Yeah I think SC will be under the gun. Brad P of WCNC has been hinting at something since last night. It's going to be a surprise event for many today.
  14. The atmosphere is getting volatile in east central & south central Alabama and western Georgia right now due to the breaks in the cloud cover & sunshine. The helocity and CAPE values are increasing. Metro Atlanta needs to watch this
  15. A large debris ball signature within this supercell continues towards West Blocton, AL.
  16. The debris ball signature within the tornado warned storm in southeastern Tuscaloosa County east of Duncanville is large on the BMX NEXRAD. It's headed towards the Southern suburbs of Birmingham in Shelby County.
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