kayman

The entire Raleigh/Durham/Fayetteville DMA and areas eastward are in this threat area including Jacksonville, Wilmington, New Bern, and the Tidewater region and the Hampton Roads metro area

First tornado warning issued: Tornado Warning Tornado Warning LAC033-037-091-281945- /O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0093.201028T1921Z-201028T1945Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service New Orleans LA 221 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020 The National Weather Service in New Orleans has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern St. Helena Parish in southeastern Louisiana... Eastern East Feliciana Parish in southeastern Louisiana... Northeastern East Baton Rouge Parish in southeastern Louisiana... * Until 245 PM CDT. * At 221 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 8 miles west of Montpelier, or 13 miles southwest of Greensburg, moving northwest at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Clinton around 245 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3100 9091 3065 9072 3065 9084 3082 9115 TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 140DEG 28KT 3068 9081 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...<.75IN $$ MEFFER

Gotcha! There's a 50-50 chance that it could especially if makes it to 110+ mph prior to landfall

Is anyone under the impression that the NWS Slidell office would be wrong to issue an Excessive Wind Warning for the lower Louisiana parishes upon the eyewall coming upon land? The radar imagery is signifying an intensifying hurricane northern eyewall with intense lightning that could be a Cat 3 when it arrives...

I have family in NOLA. Katrina was a minimal Cat 3 with winds around 115-120 mph (sustained) when it hit NOLA in 2005. However, it still had the storm surge of its previous Cat 5 intensity upon its landfall

Ah, my favorite part the tornado threat is starting to come in. One thing I learned from any strengthening tropical system upon landfall is its ground friction and localized wind shear is greater than sustaining or dying landfalling tropical systems. This is going to be a likely tornado outbreak for anyone along the front right quadrant of this system. Greater NOLA, Greater Birmingham, and Metro Atlanta will need to be very attentive of the tornadic potential through tonight and tomorrow morning...

I wouldn't be surprised if this doesn't make it as a low end Cat 3 for sure. This is insane. It's defying all forecast projections of its weakening upon landfall...

That's clearly a hook echo over the Tenleytown area of NW DC.

Yeah the rotation passed very close to me and there was roaring noise outside when it was near me. I think it was a tornado

New tornado warning for Chester County

Several reports of the storm debris along Fairview Road near Southpark is showing up on social media. There might have been a small tornado on the ground near Southpark indicative of the rotation signature

There were 2 tornado watches that have been issued in the last 30 minutes. Everyone from DC to GSP are now under a tornado watch.

It was me that posted that HRRR data from 11AM this morning. The wind profiles are picking up across the Upstate of SC and Western NC with these storms per the Base wind velocity and composite from both the Greer and Columbia NWS radars. I would be watching those discrete cells that are crossing Greenville, Pickens, and Anderson counties as they get closer to Spartanburg and Cherokee counties. The instability levels are much higher over the Spartanburg area and Gaffney because of the sunshine from earlier today. These cells could start to further intensify as they head towards the Charlotte Metro.

At what point will the pro forecasters and meteorologists admit that UK and ICON models are onto something that the NHC refuses to admit? It's bizarre because the storm is starting to move WSW rather than W now via infrared GOES and visible satellite imagery. This storm is looking more and more like a Florida landfall is going to occur.

Ironically this region is long overdue for an enhanced risk of severe weather and tornado threat. This idea of a cool air wedge always protecting North Georgia is silly. It's still in the Deep South, which is known for severe weather.

Nobody is covering the longlived TDS supercells in Central Alabama?

PDS Tornado Watch issued until 11:00PM Central

The storm over Madison County is rotating with large hail...