Sounds fitting for this winter. Curious if we will see other models trend that direction. Nam and gem still showing a decent precip shield into a good chunk of IL.
Whelp euro took a step towards GFS for next week. Barely brings the precip shield into IL except the far east. Curious if globals are underestimating precip on nw side. Higher res like nam suggests more snow pretty far nw. Not holding my breath though. Trend this winter seems to be downward as we get closer.
Long range of nam looks decent. Euro still shows potential. Gfs had a bit more here than it did before. Rgem looked good. Is ukmet reliable? I'm not familiar with it's accuracy
Well this has trended to a real dry prune. How depressing. I have barely squeaked out anything from this cold active pattern. Cue Taps with the trumpet.
GFS seems a bit lost per usual. Definitely sad when Oklahoma is going to have a better winter than most of IL. Forecasting 8-12in in their watch there. Shoot at this point I would kill for high end advisory or low end warning amounts. Definitely will hurt if it's a near miss like that. Like either slam me or go far away. Lol
I'm sure it will end up trending completely to GFS because why not. But holding hope we can get some decent snows in the deformation band of the upper level system since the sfc system is way south
Definitely an interesting system. Really won't know till we get closer esp if something like Euro pans out with the upper low driving snow up here and a very far south sfc system almost like a secondary system spreading a lot of precip albeit a warmer scenario for the Ohio Valley. 18z gfs breaking my heart with a near miss. Come on team euro. Lol
Same here. It's been some pixie dust a while. That heaviest band sandwiched between us both. Probably will see 2-3in totals in that. Think an inch at best here if that.
Idk why our local weather was saying 1-3in. We will be lucky to see an inch. Heaviest band setting up south which is what hi res suggested but looks like we could see pixie dust to light snow up here north of the main band.
Gfs took a step in the right direction. Hopefully can shift more nw like euro. But have a feeling with that strong high to the north that a near miss south is more likely.
Literally just was thinking this. It keeps getting pushed out, then fizzles out, then reappears in long range. Can we please just pull the rabbit out of the hat now?!