EPAWA is usually spot on but when they put out this map I was like WTF are they thinking. I suppose round 2 could still beef up totals for their D and E zones but they severely underestimated the western extent of plowable snow.
Snow starting in central PA, a bit ahead of schedule. Expecting around 2” from this in Allentown…hopefully the evening stuff comes west for a little more.
About 5.5” in Allentown. Tomorrow keeps trending better and better on the mesos. We could even get plowable snow here which was unthinkable at this time yesterday.
Can anyone remember a storm performing quite like this with a low in southern Ontario? Usually these give us 1-3” max. This one gave Allentown nearly 6” of snow.
The NAM is either very right or very wrong when it does stuff like that. We like to laugh at it but sometimes it ends up winning in the end.
Dumping in Allentown…about 2” on the ground.
Mesos seem to agree on a stripe of 2-4” somewhere between Philly and the Poconos tomorrow. The question is where exactly does it set up? I’m feeling pretty good in Allentown but the Poconos could do particularly well because of their elevation.
NAM and RGEM have a 1-3” event NW of 202 as well. Would really like to at least see something, it’s been weeks since we’ve had anything wintry aside from Sunday’s graupel squalls.
Add the 12z Canadian to the list. Wraps up the storm just too late for the Philly area but north of I-80 gets the goods. Huge shift from a nothingburger at 0z.
You know why I like that 18z GFS fantasy storm? Because that’s the day I’m supposed to drive back from New England. It makes perfect sense that we’d time a HECS perfectly like that.
Tomorrow night looks pretty interesting. Snow showers and squalls as everyone is heading to/leaving parties. Hopefully it’s not too chaotic. I will be out doing DoorDash and being extra vigilant of idiots on the road.