nwohweather

I said it before this week, that conveyor belt looked slightly over amped

I need to schedule a work trip to Toledo ASAP

I'd personally never want to see it. Growing up in Northern OH, anything over 10" was quite debilitating to the region and that was with a plethora of snowplows and houses having proper heating. Many down here don't and a storm of that size is going to have tons of cold on the backside of it that will linger for a few days at least. The infrastructure already cannot support the population surge, I cannot imagine what would happen if SC got something like that. To this storm, I'm interested to see how much convective feedback may be playing into it. Euro is bombing it to around 965 MB which would be on par with the Midwest Blizzard of 78 strength wise. I think the conveyor belts may be a little overamped which could be why it's so hell bent on dropping 2-4" when in reality 1-2" is probably more likely with isolated amounts of 3"

If there’s one thing I miss, it’s pond hockey. Just an awesome time

100%. It’s easy to love the GFS and it’s over amped solutions though

I have to say it’s quite something to go from basically April/May weather to true winter conditions

Feel like I’m back in Ohio tonight. 20° with football on and cold Coors

Pretty cool to see the amount of snow up in NC. What a wacky year with back to back snowstorms through the South

Just feels like a hard wish cast map. Hard to expect these results out of such a weak low

Definitely could see some accretion on Friday night here in Charleston, but it'll be so difficult with today's warm weather I think for things to get too dicey around here. If anything I think the "re-freeze" opportunities on Saturday night could create more challenges than the actual freezing rain event itself, inland temps around the Charleston metro will probably dip below 20!

Hot take

It will not be huge because we're still days out, not really even in Winter Storm Watch range. From the looks of it though, seems like one hell of an ice storm for the Carolinas

0.0" but lol currently flying back. A little bit coming into DC

Hearing from people that Cleveland is basically immobilized at the moment from the storm

Textbook storm with a rapidly deepening low underway. Should see about a 10 mb drop over the next 6-10 hours which is going to make this thing absolutely rip. Hopefully sleet doesn’t impact snowfall totals but it’s a definitely possibility if this thing trends further west

Yeah I believe they got around 20” in the Superstorm

Greenville, Spartanburg and especially Asheville are getting smoked here and Charlotte is going to have one hell of a gradient. Still think snow totals are going to come in a bit higher than the models suggest with that cold air aloft, it won’t be all concrete

High pressure weakens a bit and slides east while the main low deepens from 1000 MB to around 990 MB in 12 hours. Of course it’s going to go hard poleward during that time, and it’s steered by the high as well

Combined with the wind & mostly cold temps the following few days after, this is definitely a no bueno event for Charlotte

Just seems so hard for this to not pan out for the folks in West and Middle TN. Low is on a perfect track from Birmingham to Myrtle Beach before running up the coast to just slam the Tennessee Valley and Apps

I'm curious of why the forecasts are so much lower than what models are showing. Predicting more sleet/low rates?

Man this snow is going to come fast and heavy. Looks like Greenville & Asheville get 4-8" in the matter of 6 hours. Big winners look to be the Nashville metro though, 12-18" is a solid forecast to be honest at this point which is insane to even think about

Well look at the model runs here today... That's a Charleston-Raleigh path for the low and only a drop of a few millibars in that time stretch. Wouldn't shock me at all to see this as we get closer to the event get a tad stronger, more westerly in its track

Honestly wouldn't shock me if this eventually is the track. Probably will be closer to Columbia but still it's not that far away

I'd feel really good if I were in Greenville, Winston-Salem & especially Asheville. Charlotte & Raleigh are going to have an absolute mess on their hands with the 3-5" of concrete that falls here. Regardless, I'd get groceries now because most of NC & VA is going to get shut down by this storm