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Everything posted by nwohweather
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That line is going to put down a nice boundary for this evening
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I figured once those cells got in the better shear/helicity this would get dicey. Atmosphere lined up well this evening
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That cell east of San Antonio is ripe once it gets into a higher helicity environment. Great structure and a little isolated from the other cells, could see some serious hail and a strong tornado from it in an hour or so
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That environment just to the east is significantly better. If this can line up, ooh boy. Great LCL’s and spin ahead of the line, but noticeably better lapse rates and instability where it is now
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I almost wonder if too much initiation tomorrow could inhibit things but sheesh it looks damn good. Nice boundary going to get laid down by todays storms combined with a pretty damn strong low for this latitude at this time of year
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You can tell the environment is loading up ammo in a big way here as that low strengthens. Temps in the 90s down around Corpus Cristi with some serious moisture getting pumped up north. Lapse rates look pretty good for later on as well, the hail threat is going to be legit here. I’m not sold on the strong tornado threat completely lining up today though, it seems the best helicity will stay to the east of the cells but we will see
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Wouldn't be shocked to see some insane reflectivities today with the hail. I'm not 100% sold on the strong tornado threat today though, the LLJ isn't totally syncing up per models yet with when the cells are expected today
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I'm a little concerned about that second line approaching Mobile. Ample instability & decent SRH/Shear ahead of it
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I figured I'd start this as we're looking at a couple active days starting this morning in Southern AL/MS
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Damn here in Charleston containers were blown off the bridges when the front passed
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Definitely a hallmark November or March powerhouse front coming on through. 540 line making it almost to Florida on the backside of this is insane for this time of year. I like some legit damaging wind reports to come out of this line tomorrow
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Not a great setup but I wouldn't be shocked to see some severe reports around lunch time today as this moves east
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
nwohweather replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah it's getting pretty bad downtown, king tides regularly flood it -
Lol tradeoffs though. Swimming from mid April to Halloween is a heck of a lifestyle
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
nwohweather replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah it's safe to say as this planet warms places like Louisville, Knoxville & Cincinnati have peak weather. Down here it's more of a game of who can run their AC the least -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
nwohweather replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Why are you mad lol? I'm all for dry, sunny weather -
Pollen all over the truck this AM in Charleston
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I appreciate you guys having a train of low pressures this week. We stay in the warm sector and rain free which should keep temps around 80° thru Friday
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
nwohweather replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Rising heights with this incoming high pressure and that approaching low later this week is going to bring a hell of dose of Summer. Wouldn’t be shocked to see upper 80’s on Thursday here. Time to stock up on Xyzal lol -
Severe Weather Outbreak 02/16-02/17
nwohweather replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
That's what I'm leaning more towards. SB & MLCAPE are solid, condensation level is basically on the ground, and both shear & SRH are pretty high. I will say though it's lining a bit much this early in the game and maybe pushing too far east of where the best dynamics are -
Severe Weather Outbreak 02/16-02/17
nwohweather replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
Man if the instability can deliver, these hodographs are pretty ominous -
I could see that dry slot & mixing cut it down a bit, but 3-6" is a safe call for areas north of US 24/Maumee River. It's going to be a heck of a cutoff though, could see 5" in Toledo and 1" in Fremont