nwohweather

Definitely could see some accretion on Friday night here in Charleston, but it'll be so difficult with today's warm weather I think for things to get too dicey around here. If anything I think the "re-freeze" opportunities on Saturday night could create more challenges than the actual freezing rain event itself, inland temps around the Charleston metro will probably dip below 20!

Hot take

It will not be huge because we're still days out, not really even in Winter Storm Watch range. From the looks of it though, seems like one hell of an ice storm for the Carolinas

0.0" but lol currently flying back. A little bit coming into DC

Hearing from people that Cleveland is basically immobilized at the moment from the storm

Textbook storm with a rapidly deepening low underway. Should see about a 10 mb drop over the next 6-10 hours which is going to make this thing absolutely rip. Hopefully sleet doesn’t impact snowfall totals but it’s a definitely possibility if this thing trends further west

Yeah I believe they got around 20” in the Superstorm

Greenville, Spartanburg and especially Asheville are getting smoked here and Charlotte is going to have one hell of a gradient. Still think snow totals are going to come in a bit higher than the models suggest with that cold air aloft, it won’t be all concrete

High pressure weakens a bit and slides east while the main low deepens from 1000 MB to around 990 MB in 12 hours. Of course it’s going to go hard poleward during that time, and it’s steered by the high as well

Combined with the wind & mostly cold temps the following few days after, this is definitely a no bueno event for Charlotte

Just seems so hard for this to not pan out for the folks in West and Middle TN. Low is on a perfect track from Birmingham to Myrtle Beach before running up the coast to just slam the Tennessee Valley and Apps

I'm curious of why the forecasts are so much lower than what models are showing. Predicting more sleet/low rates?

Man this snow is going to come fast and heavy. Looks like Greenville & Asheville get 4-8" in the matter of 6 hours. Big winners look to be the Nashville metro though, 12-18" is a solid forecast to be honest at this point which is insane to even think about

Well look at the model runs here today... That's a Charleston-Raleigh path for the low and only a drop of a few millibars in that time stretch. Wouldn't shock me at all to see this as we get closer to the event get a tad stronger, more westerly in its track

Honestly wouldn't shock me if this eventually is the track. Probably will be closer to Columbia but still it's not that far away

I'd feel really good if I were in Greenville, Winston-Salem & especially Asheville. Charlotte & Raleigh are going to have an absolute mess on their hands with the 3-5" of concrete that falls here. Regardless, I'd get groceries now because most of NC & VA is going to get shut down by this storm

These model runs are pretty amazing, especially on the Euro. Honestly with that powerhouse high to the north I'm shocked it isn't going further south. Definitely a very strong storm to say the least, a 10 mb drop in 6 hours is some legit stuff. From 1005 mb over Birmingham to 978 when it's over CT shows just how dynamic this system is. I'd feel confident if I'm in Chattanooga, Greenville & Asheville, and somewhat worried in Charlotte & Raleigh. With the moisture transport & pressure gradient this has all the looks of a serious snow machine

If you compare the GFS & Euro the Eastern US is pretty similar, high pressure placement almost identical and only 4 MB difference. However the GFS is showing major difference to the west, the high over ID is considerably weaker on the GFS and it's bringing a low pressure into the Pac NW about 12 hours sooner. Just seems to be one of those solutions that until we get to sampling will produce some wild differences as there's so many pieces of energy throwing the models off. It's my opinion that the GFS is clearly not handling this well

One of the greatest spreads I’ve ever seen. GFS deepens into arguably a blizzard with a monster 12-18” swath meanwhile the Euro has a 1-3” special from Aiken to Wilmington. I will say I worry about how amped the GFS is throughout this storm, shows almost a foot of snow when this thing is back in Omaha & Des Moines. Euro is probably the more realistic solution at this time

Nice!

Speak for yourself lol still making tee times here. Next weekend looks very interesting, especially for the folks in VA. Still, I’d like to see a little more of a snowpack put down in the Midwest to firmly entrench that cold air in the Eastern US

I will say those deep cold snaps were a treat for pond hockey & snowshoeing. Definitely would be okay with a Traverse City/Minneapolis type climate which is ironic coming from someone in Charleston but hey that’s what makes weather so cool right?

Might be a little bit of an event over in MS/AL today… URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 14 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1045 AM CST Sun Jan 9 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Alabama Southeast Mississippi * Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1045 AM until 600 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensifying over southeast Mississippi, and other storms are likely to form farther east into southwest Alabama through the afternoon. Conditions appear favorable for a few supercell storms, capable of isolated tornadoes and/or damaging wind gusts.

My complaint is everyone expects a Traverse City winter. The last 15 years have totally spoiled snow fans with its deep cold and deeper snows

Just about. In Birmingham average highs in November are between 60-70 degrees