nwohweather
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Everything posted by nwohweather
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Not sure what IWX and CLE are doing here. Absolutely nothing up and you’ve got good model consistency on at least 3-6” if not 4-8”. Not ideal, at least throw up an advisory
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What a turn of events. Congrats to the snow lovers in NW Ohio and SE Michigan if this holds. Looks like Detroit beats Chicago in yet another thing
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Looks like 4-8” now for Toledo metro tomorrow
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As so they should. Verbatim were looking at 3-6” for NW Ohio early Sunday morning on the Euro and GFS
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Well said This is why I prefer severe weather Verbatim the GFS & Euro show the Toledo metro getting absolutely slammed early Sunday morning. Would be the heaviest snow I've seen in years
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Yeah this is disappointing to see how things are struggling to fill in. It doesn’t help there’s a nice tornado outbreak to the south
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I would feel pretty confident in Northern Ohio for this one. Looks like a solid 6-12” in that main swath
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Can we rely on it though? It still along the cutoff line has a wildly different split. I’m going 2-4” north of US 24 and 1-2” south of it. Might as well just label it as cement for the final accumulations
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I'll take it all day Feeling more and more confident in a 3-6" for the Toledo metro as this goes on. To your point, wagons south and the GFS winning is an odd feeling
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Nor should it be. You have the GFS with a weaker system sliding east of Cleveland giving huge snows west and NW of the Maumee River while the Euro & NAM take the SLP center directly over Toledo. That’s still quite a bit of uncertainty for 2.5 days out. I would lean towards the NAM & Euro at this time
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How was it at your house? I’d say we got about 2” of mostly snow here
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Lapse rates are pretty solid. Looks like another round of freezing thunderstorms for the area
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I’d be pretty optimistic if I were in Detroit/Toledo/Ft Wayne for this one. Very concerned about that low placement to the east, could be a significant icing event on deck here
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Won’t be a fun day with all of that sleet and ice. Can’t come at a worse time either
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
nwohweather replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It definitely looks like the groundhog was right
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Extremely impressive. And cloud tops are exceeding 30,000 feet.
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Pretty confident in Toledo getting .2" of freezing rain at this time
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Still a complete crush job on the 12z Euro for NW Ohio while it's peanuts on the NAM. I think CLE likely goes ahead with a Winter Storm or Ice Storm Warning tomorrow morning if we can get some model consensus, that east wind off the icy lake should help metro Toledo combat surface temp increases coming from both the warm surge of air aloft along with the latent heat release that comes with freezing rain
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Agreed but flat shortwave should hold back the warm surge enough to allow for hours of over running though
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Looks like a breezy but sunny week ahead for us. I could definitely go for a few days in the 40s, cabin fever is starting to hit pretty hard
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I kinda like this pattern to be honest. As someone who used to live in South Carolina this feels like a true winter. And it hasn't got to the point snowfall wise where travel is paralyzed for days following a massive storm. We put a mini rink in my buddy's backyard and it's been a fun time recently skating outdoors.
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Noticed this flying over yesterday. Erie looked like the worlds biggest hockey rink out there
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
nwohweather replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It has been very odd. Suppression with no nor’easters -
Cool study, appreciate this! Crazy to think in my relatively short lifetime winters have shortened by two weeks
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
nwohweather replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I would chock this up as a real winter. Maybe not the snowiest but it's winter alright
