nwohweather

They just extended warnings 45 miles from the current tornado. She’s gonna be a long tracker

You can see that Louisiana cell riding some serious humidity. With clear skies and humidity starting to surge, it’s absolutely getting primed over Alabama. I do think potential “crowding” could limit things a bit but we’ll see how it evolves

It also put down a nice boundary

That cell by St Louis is getting more impressive by frame…

It seems more compact as well than most

There’s definitely debris in the air

It follows that same current tornado warned storm as well. Btw on a local side note, you feel that 11° temperature jump here? KDUH was showing the lake breeze over Toledo was overpowered, went from 63 to 74 in 20 minutes

What a beast of a storm in western MO right now. Not bad considering humidity is pretty meh at the moment

Quite possibly the most ominous Day 2 outlook I've ever read. The most probable convective corridor will be along the effective outflow boundary across central/northern parts of MS into north AL and south TN. Along and south of this will be the most favored corridor for long-tracked, discrete supercells. These will likely develop within north/south-oriented confluence bands as increasing large-scale ascent becomes coincident with the peak heating cycle. A volatile combination of kinematic/thermodynamic parameters will support potential for long-track, EF3+ tornadoes.

At those speeds it’s more like the storms are chasing you

Storm motions alone will yield long tracks at those interstate speeds. From a wind damage perspective tomorrow should be ridiculous, with those hurricane force winds being only a few thousand feet up we’ll see tons of truly severe gusts. I wouldn’t be shocked to see a high risk go up if discrete storms fire in an area

I can confirm the Keweenaw is getting a true blizzard

I vividly remember one hitting Charleston in June of 2020. It was some of the wildest skies I have ever seen

Not a bad event for early March

Sucks? Feels so nice to drive with the windows down again

It’s beyond needed. One of the coldest winters here in quite some time, a thaw is okay by me

I would argue this was the worst tornado in American history. A mile wide EF5 surging thru the heart of a 50,000 person city? 158 lives lost with modern forecasting technology and the communications system we have today is insane. I cannot imagine if this were to have happened in the 1940s what it would have done.

That stretch is what causes so much of the bellyaching we see on here. Since 2005 Toledo, OH has seen the #1, 3 & 5th snowiest Januaries and the #1, 2, 4, 5, 6 & 9th snowiest Februaries on record. If you like snow, you’ve had an all time run

Bingo. It didn’t help that not only was there that powerhouse line through the south, but strong convection along the Ohio River holding down moisture on the back end of this system quite a bit

Not sure what IWX and CLE are doing here. Absolutely nothing up and you’ve got good model consistency on at least 3-6” if not 4-8”. Not ideal, at least throw up an advisory

What a turn of events. Congrats to the snow lovers in NW Ohio and SE Michigan if this holds. Looks like Detroit beats Chicago in yet another thing

Looks like 4-8” now for Toledo metro tomorrow

As so they should. Verbatim were looking at 3-6” for NW Ohio early Sunday morning on the Euro and GFS

Well said This is why I prefer severe weather Verbatim the GFS & Euro show the Toledo metro getting absolutely slammed early Sunday morning. Would be the heaviest snow I've seen in years

Yeah this is disappointing to see how things are struggling to fill in. It doesn’t help there’s a nice tornado outbreak to the south