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nwohweather

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Everything posted by nwohweather

  1. I would feel pretty confident in Northern Ohio for this one. Looks like a solid 6-12” in that main swath
  2. Can we rely on it though? It still along the cutoff line has a wildly different split. I’m going 2-4” north of US 24 and 1-2” south of it. Might as well just label it as cement for the final accumulations
  3. I'll take it all day Feeling more and more confident in a 3-6" for the Toledo metro as this goes on. To your point, wagons south and the GFS winning is an odd feeling
  4. Nor should it be. You have the GFS with a weaker system sliding east of Cleveland giving huge snows west and NW of the Maumee River while the Euro & NAM take the SLP center directly over Toledo. That’s still quite a bit of uncertainty for 2.5 days out. I would lean towards the NAM & Euro at this time
  5. How was it at your house? I’d say we got about 2” of mostly snow here
  6. Lapse rates are pretty solid. Looks like another round of freezing thunderstorms for the area
  7. I’d be pretty optimistic if I were in Detroit/Toledo/Ft Wayne for this one. Very concerned about that low placement to the east, could be a significant icing event on deck here
  8. Won’t be a fun day with all of that sleet and ice. Can’t come at a worse time either
  9. Extremely impressive. And cloud tops are exceeding 30,000 feet.
  10. Pretty confident in Toledo getting .2" of freezing rain at this time
  11. Still a complete crush job on the 12z Euro for NW Ohio while it's peanuts on the NAM. I think CLE likely goes ahead with a Winter Storm or Ice Storm Warning tomorrow morning if we can get some model consensus, that east wind off the icy lake should help metro Toledo combat surface temp increases coming from both the warm surge of air aloft along with the latent heat release that comes with freezing rain
  12. Agreed but flat shortwave should hold back the warm surge enough to allow for hours of over running though
  13. Looks like a breezy but sunny week ahead for us. I could definitely go for a few days in the 40s, cabin fever is starting to hit pretty hard
  14. I kinda like this pattern to be honest. As someone who used to live in South Carolina this feels like a true winter. And it hasn't got to the point snowfall wise where travel is paralyzed for days following a massive storm. We put a mini rink in my buddy's backyard and it's been a fun time recently skating outdoors.
  15. Noticed this flying over yesterday. Erie looked like the worlds biggest hockey rink out there
  16. It has been very odd. Suppression with no nor’easters
  17. Cool study, appreciate this! Crazy to think in my relatively short lifetime winters have shortened by two weeks
  18. I would chock this up as a real winter. Maybe not the snowiest but it's winter alright
  19. Why do you say that? It looks like the coldest temps in years are possible and we keep getting these 2-3” hits. It’s as winter as you could hope it could be
  20. I’m looking forward to being stranded in Atlanta next week
  21. It would be absolutely paralyzing if that were to verify to the region. Maybe I need to move back to Charleston, SC
  22. Dry air completely winning here in Toledo. Not good news for accumulations, the ground is completely bare here
  23. Nice 1-3" here in the Toledo area tomorrow. Bad news with it being during rush hour, good day to work from home
  24. I know it's the Northeast but my God look at this in the medium range on the GFS. You'd need front end loaders for Boston & NYC if this verified
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