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nwohweather

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Everything posted by nwohweather

  1. I think 2013-14 was a bad thing in hindsight, everyone is disappointed when they don’t have a UP winter in the damn lower Great Lakes region
  2. I appreciate this post. So many times it seems like people expect winters of 2013-14 to be a common theme but then get upset by the variability in what is arguably one of the most topsy turvy climates you can find. The average high here in Toledo is 53° degrees warmer in July than in January, that's an absolutely insane stat to think about compared to most places
  3. Sorry to hear that, 5” in Waterville however it’s compacting pretty good
  4. Absolutely ripping here in the Waterville/Perrysburg area
  5. It would not shock me at all to see one or two bolts in that band as well wherever it sets up
  6. Idk man, Winter Storm Warnings up for a large swath of the country and tornadoes along the Gulf
  7. With how dynamic this system is and the lack of wind, I doubt we see below 10:1. If anything looking at the HRRR compared to the NAM it looks like convective robbery happening from the thunderstorms in the south. You can see how the storm sort of "dries" out substantially on the HRRR
  8. Definitely an active pattern no matter how you slice it, just a parade of low pressures there. Looks like another solid severe weather even possible for the Mid South as well
  9. I thought the same thing driving up 23 today! Peak winter day
  10. Yeah it's definitely going to be a nowcast for parts of Ohio, comparing the Euro to the NAM at 00z Thu there's about a 100 mile difference. NAM has the low around Bowling Green, OH while the Euro places it east of Cleveland.
  11. "With that, have passed on any headline issuance for now to avoid any snow hype that may end up falling short of expectations". So I would say they're afraid to overhype it
  12. Looks like we've got a little standoff between Northern IN and Cleveland with CLE saying IWX is overhyping it. I'll be honest I'm a little more conservative than most when it comes to snowfall totals but sheesh when models verbatim are showing 6-8" at Hour 66-72 going against a watch is banking heavily on a NW trend towards the GFS.
  13. Gonna go with a solid 4-8” for the entire NW Ohio region on this next storm. Winds shouldn’t be too bad and with temps around freezing I’d expect a pretty wet snow. Still, this is a money type of track for the area usually
  14. Definitely looks like a solid 2-4” incoming, snow wasn’t supposed to start until 10 AM yet it’s coming down pretty good at the moment
  15. This type of storm track is typically a solid 6-10” for the region absolutely. Still the model spread won’t be clear until Monday night
  16. Northwest Ohio getting crushed Hr 114 just means that this is for sure heading for Detroit
  17. Definitely has the feel of a nice 6-10" in the main swath, ample moisture for sure with this thing at the moment.
  18. Why? A gulf low running up to along the Ohio River is a historically great track for the lower Great Lakes in general before transferring off the coast.
  19. Could see some wild helicity numbers in western Ohio tomorrow
  20. That storm track looks so damn promising next week for Toledo
  21. Definitely looks like a damaging wind type of day tomorrow, would be cool to see some spin-ups though
  22. NW Ohio sitting very pretty for Sundays event. As the heat miser I’ll do my best to keep the snow away
  23. It’s so cool how they post these live now. To say look there’s an EF3-4 barreling through as we speak really gives clarity to all
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