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nwohweather

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Everything posted by nwohweather

  1. With how dynamic this system is and the lack of wind, I doubt we see below 10:1. If anything looking at the HRRR compared to the NAM it looks like convective robbery happening from the thunderstorms in the south. You can see how the storm sort of "dries" out substantially on the HRRR
  2. Definitely an active pattern no matter how you slice it, just a parade of low pressures there. Looks like another solid severe weather even possible for the Mid South as well
  3. I thought the same thing driving up 23 today! Peak winter day
  4. Yeah it's definitely going to be a nowcast for parts of Ohio, comparing the Euro to the NAM at 00z Thu there's about a 100 mile difference. NAM has the low around Bowling Green, OH while the Euro places it east of Cleveland.
  5. "With that, have passed on any headline issuance for now to avoid any snow hype that may end up falling short of expectations". So I would say they're afraid to overhype it
  6. Looks like we've got a little standoff between Northern IN and Cleveland with CLE saying IWX is overhyping it. I'll be honest I'm a little more conservative than most when it comes to snowfall totals but sheesh when models verbatim are showing 6-8" at Hour 66-72 going against a watch is banking heavily on a NW trend towards the GFS.
  7. Gonna go with a solid 4-8” for the entire NW Ohio region on this next storm. Winds shouldn’t be too bad and with temps around freezing I’d expect a pretty wet snow. Still, this is a money type of track for the area usually
  8. Definitely looks like a solid 2-4” incoming, snow wasn’t supposed to start until 10 AM yet it’s coming down pretty good at the moment
  9. This type of storm track is typically a solid 6-10” for the region absolutely. Still the model spread won’t be clear until Monday night
  10. Northwest Ohio getting crushed Hr 114 just means that this is for sure heading for Detroit
  11. Definitely has the feel of a nice 6-10" in the main swath, ample moisture for sure with this thing at the moment.
  12. Why? A gulf low running up to along the Ohio River is a historically great track for the lower Great Lakes in general before transferring off the coast.
  13. Could see some wild helicity numbers in western Ohio tomorrow
  14. That storm track looks so damn promising next week for Toledo
  15. Definitely looks like a damaging wind type of day tomorrow, would be cool to see some spin-ups though
  16. NW Ohio sitting very pretty for Sundays event. As the heat miser I’ll do my best to keep the snow away
  17. It’s so cool how they post these live now. To say look there’s an EF3-4 barreling through as we speak really gives clarity to all
  18. Explains why the TN Valley over into the mid South gets severe outbreak after outbreak. Also who needs clippers from the Pacific when you can get atmospheric rivers?
  19. NAM is a little more bullish with backend precip and with the southeast trend post sampling I wouldn't be shocked to see 1-2" of accumulation across NW Ohio east of I-75. The warm ground and temps hovering around freezing won't help with accumulation but I expect some decent snowfall for a short time in the overnight
  20. Mid January and no cold air for a sub 1000 mb low to drop snow. Climate change for the win
  21. The ole NW Ohio dryslot hitting hard on this at the moment but it brings Detroit proper in as well. Still a lot of spread, GFS showing a nice Chicago to Traverse City special there. Still not overly impressed with the cold air in place, I think that cuts down snow totals from what the models are showing
  22. Always. I mean our gold has always been the Apps Runner
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