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nwohweather

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Everything posted by nwohweather

  1. I thought the same thing driving up 23 today! Peak winter day
  2. Yeah it's definitely going to be a nowcast for parts of Ohio, comparing the Euro to the NAM at 00z Thu there's about a 100 mile difference. NAM has the low around Bowling Green, OH while the Euro places it east of Cleveland.
  3. "With that, have passed on any headline issuance for now to avoid any snow hype that may end up falling short of expectations". So I would say they're afraid to overhype it
  4. Looks like we've got a little standoff between Northern IN and Cleveland with CLE saying IWX is overhyping it. I'll be honest I'm a little more conservative than most when it comes to snowfall totals but sheesh when models verbatim are showing 6-8" at Hour 66-72 going against a watch is banking heavily on a NW trend towards the GFS.
  5. Gonna go with a solid 4-8” for the entire NW Ohio region on this next storm. Winds shouldn’t be too bad and with temps around freezing I’d expect a pretty wet snow. Still, this is a money type of track for the area usually
  6. Definitely looks like a solid 2-4” incoming, snow wasn’t supposed to start until 10 AM yet it’s coming down pretty good at the moment
  7. This type of storm track is typically a solid 6-10” for the region absolutely. Still the model spread won’t be clear until Monday night
  8. Northwest Ohio getting crushed Hr 114 just means that this is for sure heading for Detroit
  9. Definitely has the feel of a nice 6-10" in the main swath, ample moisture for sure with this thing at the moment.
  10. Why? A gulf low running up to along the Ohio River is a historically great track for the lower Great Lakes in general before transferring off the coast.
  11. Could see some wild helicity numbers in western Ohio tomorrow
  12. That storm track looks so damn promising next week for Toledo
  13. Definitely looks like a damaging wind type of day tomorrow, would be cool to see some spin-ups though
  14. NW Ohio sitting very pretty for Sundays event. As the heat miser I’ll do my best to keep the snow away
  15. It’s so cool how they post these live now. To say look there’s an EF3-4 barreling through as we speak really gives clarity to all
  16. Explains why the TN Valley over into the mid South gets severe outbreak after outbreak. Also who needs clippers from the Pacific when you can get atmospheric rivers?
  17. NAM is a little more bullish with backend precip and with the southeast trend post sampling I wouldn't be shocked to see 1-2" of accumulation across NW Ohio east of I-75. The warm ground and temps hovering around freezing won't help with accumulation but I expect some decent snowfall for a short time in the overnight
  18. Mid January and no cold air for a sub 1000 mb low to drop snow. Climate change for the win
  19. The ole NW Ohio dryslot hitting hard on this at the moment but it brings Detroit proper in as well. Still a lot of spread, GFS showing a nice Chicago to Traverse City special there. Still not overly impressed with the cold air in place, I think that cuts down snow totals from what the models are showing
  20. Always. I mean our gold has always been the Apps Runner
  21. What a nice little surprise here eh? Verbatim it’s 3-6” for NW Ohio with maybe a little lake enhancement occurring for Ottawa and Erie counties. As others have said though there’s a good bit of warm air to overcome, need the low to trend a little stronger here to wrap more cold air in
  22. Late next week looks interesting, just a real lack of cold air for a lot of these little systems. Weird to see in January
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