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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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I was just thinking the exact same thing. There’s only so much water they can pump at any given time. I’m starting to get a little nervous about the early season. Hopefully we see a snap to much colder in November that we have seen in recent years
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On the positive side of things the extension of the growing season is pretty cool. M vegetable gardens are still producing nicely. Annuals stay healthy now well into November. Assuming we do not have one of those shock Arctic outbreaks. We went from full growing season to the teens in 18/19.
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Our precipitation patterns have become increasingly volatile. After the extremely wet summer we have dried out again. Any fall color you see from the city south and east is from water stressed trees. Tough times to be in the horticulture field.
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2021 Atlantic Hurricane season
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
Not surprising with the secondary peak. I would Be shocked if we do not see another major somewhere in the Caribbean before the end of the season -
That’s insane. They are just getting into the city. I did an invasive species tour in morning side park last Friday for students and we killed as many as we could find in the tree of heaven. There were maybe 10 per tree.
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Clearly weakening again as it moves over cooler waters. I agree though it likely peaked around 120mph yesterday evening though.
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I have always theorized that the Gulf Stream limits upwelling as warm water is moving fast. I think that may have aided Sam in reaching near maximum possible intensity given water temps. Overall a true classic MDR hurricane. Had it been a couple hundred miles west it would be an all timer.
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Feels more like an august rainy day then October on the uws part of what I believe is our new climate. With arctic sea ice dwindling it takes longer for the Arctic to cool in autumn and cool downs less likely and less intense.
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Big swell periods 17 seconds are just starting to show on the offshore buoys. It’s the period that matters most for washovers. Anything over 14 seconds but especially 17 seconds. They contain the most energy and are moving the fastest, kinds like mini tsunamis.
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Last thing that place needed. I actually had a good time when I went. I kept my expectations extremely low, and it was fun to ride off season
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SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2021
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
If only you were are surfer. The term “fish storm” does not apply. I’ll throw in ocean front home owner too, during Bill there were serious wash-overs and beach erosion from a storm that stayed offshore https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Bill_(2009) -
SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2021
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Another prolific swell producer. Larry was a top 5 all time swell for me. This looks in that ball park -
There are actually several Palm species that can survive our winters. The most notable is the Windmill Palm. It’s the coldest lows that make the biggest difference. An average winter pre 1980s had a lowest temp averaging around 5. Recently it’s been more like 15.
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Arctic Sea Ice Extent, Area, and Volume
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to ORH_wxman's topic in Climate Change
Great find Bluewave. Tremendous work by Tom Anderson. With continued learning accuracy will increase further. I’m not sure there is much hope for indigenous communities in regards to sea ice however. Villages are literally falling into the sea as a result of erosion caused by the lack of sea ice. Talk about disparity’s in climate change effects on given community’s. -
They are just starting to make into western Nassau. I have found a few on the UWS. They are bad news.
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Your adding extra insulation into the system that would normally be reflected into space by ice.
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2021 Atlantic Hurricane season
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
Apparently he never looked back at the 80s-early 90s -
September is the new august and October the new September. It’s pretty hard to cool down early with the lack of sea ice slowing arctic cooling.
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That’s a really impressive looking line for this time of night.
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- flash flooding
- river flooding
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I highly doubt the wind caused the outage. Just run of the mill SW wind with sea breeze enhancement. And to answer your other comment, Long Island is much more prone to surge flooding then freshwater rainfall flooding.
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- flash flooding
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The swells will hardly be minor. Hurricane force wind area and captured fetch are two of the biggest components of swell generation and they will both be major for Larry. Long period swells are excellent stores of energy. Larry will likely lead to major beach erosion and wash overs as a multi day event
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I enjoyed all the rain being in horticulture, made for less watering. Well I enjoyed it until Ida, which flooded every building on the campus I work on. That was not fun.
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Agreed. And this will be far from a fish storm. This will be a prolific swell producer that will lead to beach erosion and wash overs up and down the east coast. And being after prime beach season most beaches will not have life guards to keep idiots out of the water