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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly. Those years were exceptional. I hate to bring up Sandy but that event alone has a 600 year reoccurrence rate. Then a major snow storm a week later in early November, off the charts. I have a feeling this summer will be remembered for NE flooding again.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Likely above average, 1-2 degrees. Absolutely agree about dews, lots of 88 with a dew of 75. Our climate is more resembling the coastal Carolina’s during summer. As the higher temps with lower dews combo migrates north to Montreal and Maine.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m ready for the switch to typical south shore warm season drought. It’s been a while since we have had such a cool wet start to the summer.
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Was just going to ask the same. Had to have been close to an inch here in SW Nassua that fell in less then 30min
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s possible it’s the beginnings of. But even if it is we are likely to see a muted version in comparison to the last one.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Near zero vis on the beach right now. Hits like a wall right around merrick road. Let’s see if we can scrape together a couple tenths on the south shore.
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Sea breeze just doubled in speed in about 30 min on the beach. It was remarkably calm all afternoon. Now, not so much.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Ok so an actual water temp reading from a NDBC NOAA buoy is incorrect got it. i was also in the ocean today at jones beach and it is most certainly 58 degrees. My friend was training for a triathlon and wearing a thermometer watch and it read 58. I’ll believe what I felt and what noaa records over what Lee Goldberg says from his office any day.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Ummm what? More like 58 degrees.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    See breeze just kicked in. It was remarkably calm earlier. The breeze has an uncomfortable chill if your in a bathing suite.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Ended up not seeing an abrose jet event yesterday. Just a typical afternoon sea breeze. Looks similar today, maybe slightly stronger.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Unfortunately Florida would be my favored area for another Major. It’s only a matter of time before we see another Andrew into south Florida. I would never favor the NE for a hit as it’s a low probability year over year but it’s the most “due”. Water temps in the home grown area for the north east are the most anomalous in the entire basin. A Bob or Carol track would almost certainly lead to a major hit for eastern New England. Something that hasn’t happened since 1938. Obviously no one will feel sorry if the Hamptons are destroyed. Having spent time out there, there are middle to lower income communities were workers live. And these people would be the most impacted.
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    If anything delayed formation favors a home grown season. Further west of the MDR box water temps and OHC are still significantly above normal. While overall ace and named storm numbers may end up below hyperactive, an impactful season still looks likely. A rapidly intensifying storm on approach has much more damage potential then a decaying former MDR major.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nice shot. I just missed the sunset walking out of the gym. As cool as the apocalyptic smoke from 2 years ago was cool i would hard pass on a repeat.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nope. Need a Carington level event to get through the light pollution.
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah 40 mph gusts are common on the beach front with the Ambrose jet. The strongest events I have witnessed in 26 years of ocean life gaurding is probably close to 60mph. I have a hand held anemometer so I’ll take some readings this week.
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Abrose jet should really crank this week. Water temps are relatively low in the mid to upper 50s. Creating a stronger then usual temperature and pressure gradient from water to land. The ultimate seabreeze. People thinking this is the first beach weather week are going to be treated to a sand storm and a fridged afternoon wind.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pretty meh right now. Maybe a second wave 10-12.
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The year of the incessant West wind continues. Easily had some 40mph gusts on the beach yesterday. Full on sand storm. People would walk down towards the water and quickly turn around after a couple minutes of sand blasting.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah that’s a big part of it. From my memory that storm was bombing out as it passed overhead. Likely very strong dynamics were able overcome drying.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Absolutely wrap around. The front end of the storm was all rain.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Christmas Day 2001. 9” in 5 hours, all wrap around.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Even more so out on the island. It’s getting to that time of year though. Really was just a warm frontal passage. Wrap around should mostly dry out before pivoting through
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Around an inch.
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nice moisture slug down in south Jersey. Trajectory looks to be eastern Li.
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