weathermedic
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Everything posted by weathermedic
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1.98 total at my station.
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Just over 1.5 inches at my station so far.
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Just over 2 inches at my station. Much needed.
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Up to 69 at my station on a light ENE wind. Sun shining through the clouds.
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Looks like the intensity is decreasing somewhat as the sun sets
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89 dew of 49 by me at the north "inland" part of Sheepshead Bay Brooklyn
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Wind just flipped to SSW and temp is down to 68 now Down to 60 as of 4:10pm on a SE wind
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Up to 77 here now with more sun shining through the overcast
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Up to 74 now.
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Up to 72 with mostly cloudy skies.
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.45 of rain so far here at my station
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OKX sticking with a mostly rain scenario at the coast. From this morning’s AFD: By Monday night, the upper level low forces the coastal low to rapidly deepen as it passes near the 40N 70 W benchmark. Some model guidance actually has a separate area of low pressure develop over the area in the apex of the inverted trough. This will result in widespread moderate to locally heavy precipitation Monday night into early Tuesday morning. Rain along the coast may be heavy at times through the night. This is likely when a bulk of the precipitation from the event falls with coastal areas possibly seeing as much as 1.5 inches of rainfall from sunset Monday to sunrise Tuesday. There remains a considerable amount of uncertainty as to how the transition to snowfall occurs of the northwestern fringe of the cyclone. The thinking is that mainly rain Monday evening transitions to a rain/snow mix and then primarily snow for the Lower Hudson Valley and portions of interior NE NJ and W Connecticut. As strengthening NW winds advect marginally cool air from the north, the rain/snow transition may make some southward progress toward daybreak Tuesday. There remains a possibility that precipitation for much of the area will be a mix of rain and snow by Tuesday morning and through much of the day on Tuesday with temperatures expected to be in the middle 30s for the coastal areas. As precipitation lightens Tuesday afternoon and evening, the upper level trough passes over the area allowing for a more favorable profile for plain snow for much of the area. Any accumulations at this point should be minimal.
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I just passed JFK. It’s a snow/rain mix. Temp down to 36
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From OKX evening AFD: NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... Guidance has converged for the weak and quick moving low pressure system that will be moving out of the upper midwest and passing to the south of the region tonight. The trend has been for a colder and slightly farther southern track, with mainly snow across the area late this evening and overnight. There may be a brief rain/snow mix at the onset, and transition to snow as the atmospheric column cools. Precipitation will be generally light with weak upper support with a flat and broad shortwave moving through the area. Timing of the precipitation is also rather consistent with onset around 1000 PM and ending by 500 AM, with the bulk falling in a 3 hour window midnight to 300 AM. The onset may be delayed as the lower layers are dry, and will have to be overcome. The band of snowfall is also rather narrow, with a sharp gradient of no snow to 1 to 1 1/2 inches of snowfall. And locations to the northeast and east likely see no to very little precipitation. Therefore, any minor shift in the track of the low will have impacts to where the heaviest snow will occur. With the ending time of snow toward Tuesday morning, the morning commute will be impacted and this is highlighted in the hazardous weather outlook (HWOOKX).
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Sleeting in midtown
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58 at my station
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NWS OKX AFD: The northern branch of the polar jet becomes the dominant stream this period as a quick shot of arctic air arrives Friday into Saturday. However, global models while still very cold, have trended a bit warmer. This will be the coldest airmass since Christmas eve with temperatures Friday night and Saturday about 20 degrees below normal. The arctic cold front slips through Friday morning with the coldest air arriving Friday night with 85h temps approaching -25C. With no downstream block over the north Atlantic, this will be a fleeting airmass. In addition, with strong NW winds behind the cold front, gusts of 25 to 35 mph will produce wind chills likely at advisory levels for much of the area. The threat for warning level criteria inland is diminishing. Lows Friday night inland are forecast to drop to around zero with the single digits to around 10 at the coast. Highs Saturday are forecast to range from the mid and upper teens inland, to around 20 at the coast. This is about 3 to 5 degrees warmer than 24h ago.
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NWS forecasting a low of 33 for the city tonight. It's 40 degrees now at 8:40pm with a mostly overcast sky. Don't think we cool down to 33. Maybe 37-38. Precip gets in mid-late morning. Temps will be rising by then. Still can snow but not holding my breath.
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Seems like the snow shower/flurries over parts of the city keeps on back building over the same area.
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Just had some sleet mixed in here with the rain at work in southwestern Nassau County just east of JFK airport.
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.35 inches of rain so far and 50 degrees at my station....early November weather
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A glimmer of hope? From Judah Cohen via Twitter: Looks to me we're on track for another #PolarVortex stretching event for 2nd week of January that typically delivers more wintry weather to Eastern US but could there be more?
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54 with a southerly wind off the water at my station.
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Any snow reports from the north fork area of Suffolk County? Radar shows it’s been snowing from ocean/sound effect bands all night and still is.
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December 22nd - 23rd Cutter Discussion and Observations
weathermedic replied to NJwx85's topic in New York City Metro
Barometer at my station down to 985mb
