weathermedic

What's it showing? A blizzard or sunny and 60's?

Temp was 35 degrees at my house last night before the snow started so ground temps were above freezing, hence the much higher accumulations on the colder surfaces. Had 6-7 inches on the cars, picnic table, etc but only about 3-4 inches on the sidewalk/driveway.

Much less accumulations on paved surfaces here in Brooklyn

6.5 inches here in Sheepshead Bay

The majority of the general public does not know the difference between a winter weather advisory and a winter storm warning. All they hear is "snow is coming" It matters to weather buffs like us

From OKX Twitter feed: Part of the concern with tonight/tomorrow's #snow is the timing. Short range models are signaling the potential for snowfall rates to exceed 1"/hour just as the morning commute gets underway. Treacherous roadway conditions are likely, especially early. If possible, avoid travel!

Latest OKX AFD: SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... The 12Z NAM, GFS, and ECMWF are all in good agreement with the track and timing of low pres tracking se of the benchmark Thu ngt into Fri. This would produce a 1-3 inch snowfall west and 2-4 inches east. The fcst follows this thinking. The overall model trend has been east with the sys, so it would not be surprising to see a further ewd trend in future model runs. Any trend w would produce more snow. Because of the trend, and current snow totals blw advy criteria in many places, will not issue an advy with this fcst. The snowfall potential will continue to be highlighted in the hwo and idss briefing products. Most of the snow will occur late Thu ngt into Fri mrng, which will impact the mrng commute.

WWA up for most of NJ.

Agreed. Main moisture transport is well out in the Atlantic (GFS) plus it's a quick mover.

NWS expanded the WWA to include NYC, Nassau and western Suffolk.

Freezing rain/drizzle over much of the area. Even in the city with temps of 33-34, some of the bridges and overpasses are beginning to get slippery. Especially Staten Island crossings.

Flurries or what appears to be more like graupel falling in extreme SW Nassau County in Inwood just east of JFK.

OKX AFD has it summed up good (at least I think so) as of their 4:48pm update: All attention is then turned to the approaching low pressure system. This low will form along a frontal boundary over the southeastern CONUS late tonight as a shortwave trough digs through the Southern Plains. It will then track northeastward and pass just to our south and east. 12z guidance has continued to show the area now being on the far northern edge of the precipitation shield. This is a similar solution to what the GFS has been showing for the past several days. Given the cold air that will work into the area overnight tonight, and the low being far enough to our south and east, any precip that does fall over the area will be in the form of snow. Uncertainty still remains, especially given some dry air that needs to be overcome in the midlevels. This will overall be a minor light snow event. Snowfall totals are expected to be greatest over eastern Long Island, where 1-2 inches are possible. Farther west over northeastern NJ and NYC up to an inch is possible. Snow totals drop off farther north, with the CT coast and southern portions of the Lower Hudson Valley likely seeing less than an inch and far northern locations staying dry. Trends in track will need to be monitored given the nature of the tight gradient in QPF and snowfall. Timing of the event may be the biggest concern. Snow starts in the early morning hours on Monday and will continue through the evening. This could impact the morning commute and potentially the evening commute for eastern Long Island. With temperatures dropping quickly overnight tonight to below freezing, snow is expected to stick right away. Given the uncertainty that surrounds this system, and current light snowfall totals, have decided to hold off on any headlines over our area in collaboration with neighboring offices. Subsequent shifts will have to monitor new guidance and a Winter Weather Advisory may be possible for eastern Long Island. The area will likely be completely dry after 7PM and high pressure will build in behind the departing low. Skies clear quickly from west to east in the late evening and a cold night is expected. Winds will also be decreasing overnight as the pressure gradient relaxes, so there may be several hours of good radiational cooling conditions. This will be the case especially if any areas have a fresh snow cover. Lows Monday night are currently forecast to be in the low teens across the interior and the LI Pine Barrens, mid teens to low 20s elsewhere.

JFK broke their record high temp for the day with 59 degrees. Old record was 57. They could have a couple of inches of snow on the ground by this time tomorrow.

And that's with only 6.5 hours of sun: Dec 27, 2021 9:54 AM -- 4:26 PM 6 hours and 32 minutes

65 at my station now. Impressive even with the southerly wind off the water.

I don’t ever recall seeing a special weather statement with those speeds

Showers moving at 100 mph! Is that a typo? At 1017 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking showers along a broken line extending from Clark to Middle Island to near Guilford. Movement was east at 100 mph.

Becoming more ordinary as the years go on.

It's December but... Special Weather Statement National Weather Service New York NY 746 PM EST Thu Dec 2 2021 CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-030145- Northern Fairfield CT-Western Passaic NJ-Putnam NY-Rockland NY- Northern Westchester NY-Orange NY- 746 PM EST Thu Dec 2 2021 ...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of north central Fairfield, western Passaic, northern Westchester, Orange, Putnam and Rockland Counties through 845 PM EST... At 745 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from Greentown to near Philmont. Movement was east at 50 mph. HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Newburgh, Middletown, West Milford, Peekskill, Ringwood, Mahopac, Monroe, Lake Carmel, Walden, West Point, Warwick, Goshen, Sherman, Sloatsburg and Cold Spring.

Had what appeared to be graupel falling while on the Verrazano Bridge around 2:15pm.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service New York NY 253 PM EST Sat Nov 13 2021 The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a * Tornado Warning for... West central Suffolk County in southeastern New York... East central Nassau County in southeastern New York... * Until 330 PM EST. * At 252 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Levittown, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Farmingdale around 300 PM EST. Plainview and Melville around 305 PM EST. Huntington Station and Deer Park around 310 PM EST. Huntington and Dix Hills around 315 PM EST. Commack and Centerport around 320 PM EST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 4066 7356 4071 7361 4092 7337 4080 7323 TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 231DEG 31KT 4072 7355 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

Very windy here now. Gust up to 39 so far here.

Had heavy rain (.29) with very little pea sized hail at my station in Sheepshead Bay.