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bluewave

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  1. It’s easy to lose track of all these 500 to 1000 year rainfall events in recent years. https://www.weather.gov/owp/hdsc_aep
  2. Strongest La Niña trade winds on record from late June into July.
  3. The bottom line is that the tree growth since the 1990s has probably cost NYC at least 13 days a year reaching 90°. This is by the more conservative Newark figures. Faster warming along the lines of LGA would yield more than that number. So the Con Ed customers should probably be asking why their summer cooling bills aren’t going down like the Central Park 90° days? NYC 90° day drop from 19 in the early 1960s to 16 in the early 2020s..should be 29 using more conservative Newark 90° day increase -3 Newark 21 days to 31 days….+10 LGA 10 days to 25 days…+15
  4. This may have tied the 2nd longest heatwave on record in New Jersey at 14 days for Hillsborough-Duke. The heatwave included 4 days in the 100° to 102° range there. Newark had a heatwave which lasted 20 days in 1988. So this 14 day streak would tie the 2nd longest at Newark in 2010. Atlantic City had a 14 day heatwave in 1995. Hillsborough-Duke https://www.njweather.org/data/daily/3572 Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-25 Mesonet 94 74 76 67 93 47 29.92 29.83 0.00 23 W ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-24 Mesonet 102 67 73 62 97 29 30.05 29.90 0.00 24 SW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-23 Mesonet 101 66 72 56 99 26 30.03 29.93 0.00 19 WNW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-22 Mesonet 99 70 70 57 92 28 29.94 29.73 0.00 20 SW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-21 Mesonet 100 69 76 63 98 33 29.74 29.62 0.00 26 WSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-20 Mesonet 100 67 72 65 94 35 29.81 29.68 0.00 24 WSW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-19 Mesonet 94 70 71 64 91 40 29.83 29.74 0.00 23 WNW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-18 Mesonet 97 72 76 70 97 44 30.00 29.73 0.00 31 SW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-17 Mesonet 90 68 72 65 100 45 30.05 29.97 0.20 14 W ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-16 Mesonet 92 66 70 58 98 35 30.14 30.00 0.00 15 ESE ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-15 Mesonet 91 60 68 53 95 31 30.15 30.06 0.00 15 SSE ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-14 Mesonet 91 63 69 58 97 36 30.07 29.89 0.00 19 NW ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-13 Mesonet 93 67 70 58 95 36 29.91 29.76 0.00 16 W ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-12 Mesonet 94 60 72 56 98 46 29.87 29.67 0.00 23 SW Newark Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature >= 90 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date 1 20 1988-08-17 2 14 2010-07-29 3 12 1995-08-04 - 12 1972-07-25 Atlantic City Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature >= 90 for Atlantic City Area, NJ (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date 1 14 1995-08-05 2 10 2010-07-25 - 10 1983-07-21
  5. This may be the first time that our area had multiple days of 100° heat with a trough over the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. The 10 event 100° day composite from 2010 to 2021 featured a strong ridge over the Northeast instead. So the steadily warming summer climate is finding new 500mb patterns to deliver extended 100° heat into our area. Recent extended 100° heat 2010 to 2021 composite of 10 days reaching 100°+
  6. White Plains just ended its 3rd longest at or above 70° low temperature streak at 9 days. All the top 5 longest streaks have occurred since 2013. Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 70 for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date 1 11 2013-07-11 2 10 2013-07-23 3 9 2022-07-25 4 8 2016-08-17 5 7 2018-08-08
  7. That will be our next chance of 100s with widespread 850 mb temperatures from +20C to +24C.
  8. The many stations under .50 of rain are having one of their driest July 1 to 25 periods on record. Monthly Data for July 2022 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Total Precipitation NJ MONTCLAIR 0.7 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.00 CT FAIRFIELD 1.5 NE CoCoRaHS 0.00 NY JACKSON HEIGHTS 0.3 WSW CoCoRaHS 0.13 CT IVORYTON 0.9 WSW CoCoRaHS 0.15 NY BLUE POINT 0.4 E CoCoRaHS 0.15 NJ LINDEN 2.2 NW CoCoRaHS 0.16 NY LARCHMONT 1.1 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.18 NY SETAUKET-EAST SETAUKET 0.7 SSW CoCoRaHS 0.19 NY COPIAGUE 0.4 ENE CoCoRaHS 0.21 NY SAYVILLE 1.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.22 NJ GLEN ROCK 0.7 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.24 NY AMITYVILLE 0.1 WSW CoCoRaHS 0.26 NJ RINGWOOD 3.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 0.26 NY MASSAPEQUA 1.1 SE CoCoRaHS 0.28 NY SAYVILLE 0.2 SE CoCoRaHS 0.30 NY WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP WBAN 0.30 CT GRISWOLD 0.9 N CoCoRaHS 0.31 NY PATCHOGUE 0.9 SE CoCoRaHS 0.31 CT MYSTIC 3.4 NW CoCoRaHS 0.32 NY REMSENBURG-SPEONK 0.9 NE CoCoRaHS 0.32 NY BROOKLYN 3.1 NW CoCoRaHS 0.34 NY AMITYVILLE 0.6 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.35 NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 0.37 NY WANTAGH 0.3 ESE CoCoRaHS 0.37 CT NORWICH 2.5 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.39 CT NEW HAVEN 2.9 NNW CoCoRaHS 0.39 NY STATEN ISLAND 1.4 SE CoCoRaHS 0.41 NY BRIGHTWATERS 0.5 NNE CoCoRaHS 0.41 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 0.42 NY MASSAPEQUA PARK 1.2 N CoCoRaHS 0.44 NY BAY SHORE 0.5 ESE CoCoRaHS 0.46 NY LOCUST VALLEY 0.3 E CoCoRaHS 0.46 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Jul 25 Missing Count 1 1939-07-25 0.20 0 2 2022-07-25 0.42 0 3 1932-07-25 0.43 0 4 1966-07-25 0.45 0 5 1980-07-25 0.85 0 6 1998-07-25 0.87 0 - 1957-07-25 0.87 0 7 1999-07-25 1.00 0 8 1970-07-25 1.01 0 9 1955-07-25 1.14 0
  9. It runs a little cooler than interior Queens. Fresh Kills Wed, Jul 20, 2022 99 77 88 67 69 32 51 0.00 S 5 19 5:00pm Thu, Jul 21, 2022 99 78 89 70 85 31 57 0.00 S 6 28 5:05pm Fri, Jul 22, 2022 98 75 86 64 77 26 51 0.00 S* 4 22 6:30pm Sat, Jul 23, 2022 99 77 88 65 73 22 49 0.00 S 4 20 4:30pm Sun, Jul 24, 2022 100 79 89 65 73 28 48 0.00 S 6 24 7:10pm Corona Wed, Jul 20, 2022 100 80 88 68 64 35 51 0.00 Thu, Jul 21, 2022 96 76 87 71 96 35 62 0.72 Fri, Jul 22, 2022 100 82 88 64 58 24 47 0.00 Sat, Jul 23, 2022 100 82 88 65 71 26 49 0.00 Sun, Jul 24, 2022 101 82 89 68 74 29 52 0.00
  10. The tree growth covering the Central Park ASOS has made its highest temperatures closer to Suffolk County than the rest of our urbanized areas since 2013. Central Park hasn’t reached 99° since the 2013 summer. Islip has come closer to 100 than NYC over these years. The list below is our highest summer temperatures since 2013. The multiple 100° days at the NYC micronet stations aren’t on this list since it’s on a separate network. So this is the 2nd longest streak below 99° in NYC since 1873. Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 99 for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Run Length Ending Date Period of record: 1873-01-01 to 2022-07-25 1 4022 1977-07-17 2 3659 2022-07-25 3 3260 1894-06-24 4 2844 1911-07-02 5 2212 1917-07-30 6 1786 2010-07-04 7 1763 1988-07-09 8 1761 1962-05-18 9 1476 1923-07-19 10 1475 1948-08-25 Data for January 1, 2013 through July 25, 2022 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 103 NJ HARRISON COOP 102 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 101 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 101 NJ CRANFORD COOP 100 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 100 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 100 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 100 NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 100 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 100 NJ RINGWOOD COOP 99 NY WEST POINT COOP 99 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 99 CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 99 CT PUTNAM LAKE COOP 99 CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 99 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 98 NY MATTITUCK COOP 98 NY MOUNT SINAI COOP 98 CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 98 NY CENTERPORT COOP 98 NY SHRUB OAK COOP 97 NY BRONX COOP 97 CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 97 CT ANSONIA 1 NE COOP 97 NY WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP WBAN 97 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 97 NY SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT WBAN 97 NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 97 NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 97 NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 97 CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 97 NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 97 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 97 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 96 NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 96 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 96 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 96 CT SAUGATUCK RESERVOIR COOP 96 CT DANBURY COOP 96 CT BRIDGEPORT-SUCCESS HILL COOP 96 NY SYOSSET COOP 96 NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 95 CT GROTON NEW LONDON AP WBAN 95 NY GREENPORT POWER HOUSE COOP 95 NY ORIENT POINT STATE PARK COOP 95 CT GUILFORD COOP 95 CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 95 CT OXFORD WATERBURY WBAN 95 NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 94 NY MOLLOY CERCOM COOP 94 NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 94 NY MONTAUK AIRPORT WBAN 94 NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 93 CT GROTON COOP 93 NY WEST NYACK COOP 92 NY CARMEL 4N COOP 92
  11. The network that I used doesn’t cover the NYC micronet and the NJ mesonet . So we have to use micronet sources for the 5 boroughs of NYC. Several of the COOPs around NYC in 1977 closed. There were multiple 100° days in the 5 boroughs during this heatwave. https://www2.nysmesonet.org/networks/nyc 7-20 Brownsville 100° Corona 100° Tremont 102° 7-22 Brownsville 100° Corona 100° Tremont 100° 7-23 Brownsville 101° Corona 100° South Ozone Park 100° Tremont 101° 7-24 Corona 101° Fresh Kills 100° Tremont 101°
  12. We had a mix of days this heatwave with lighter and stronger winds. But NYC temperatures were in line with the South Shore sea breeze sites from JFK to ISP. So the high temperature cool bias has been pretty consistent across multiple patterns. I can still remember the old heatwaves like July 1977 when Central Park was one of the warmest sites. There are many more examples like the one below between recent years and before the mid to late 90s. Monthly Data for July 2022 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102 NJ HARRISON COOP 102 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 98 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 98 NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 98 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 97 NY SHRUB OAK COOP 96 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 96 NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 96 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 96 CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 96 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 96 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 96 CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 95 NY CENTERPORT COOP 95 CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 95 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 95 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 95 Monthly Data for July 1977 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NY NEW YORK LAUREL HILL COOP 104 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 104 NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 103 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102 CT NORWALK GAS PLANT COOP 102 NY WEST POINT COOP 101 NJ ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 101 NY VANDERBILT MUSEUM COOP 101 NY MARYKNOLL COOP 100 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 100 NJ CRANFORD COOP 100 NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 100 NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 100 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 100 CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 100 NY SCARSDALE COOP 100 CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 100 CT NEW HAVEN COOP 100 NY SUFFERN COOP 99 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 99 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 99 NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 99 CT DANBURY COOP 99 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 99 NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 99 CT GROTON COOP 99 NY WALDEN 1 ESE COOP 98 NY CARMEL COOP 98 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 98 NY MIDDLETOWN 2 NW COOP 97 NJ JERSEY CITY COOP 97 NY MINEOLA COOP 97 NY YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 1W COOP 97 CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 97 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 97 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 97 NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 96 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 96 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 95 NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 95 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 95
  13. Cool summers like we used to get before 2010 are a thing of the past. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/divisional/time-series/3004/tavg/3/8/1895-2022?base_prd=true&begbaseyear=1981&endbaseyear=2010 https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/divisional/time-series/2801/tavg/3/8/1895-2022?base_prd=true&begbaseyear=1981&endbaseyear=2010 Near normal and cool years bolded Year JJA……NYC boroughs and Long Island…Northern New Jersey 2021….+1.1….+1.2 2020…+2.6….+2.9 2019…+1.5…..+1.8 2018…+1.7……+1.8 2017…..+0.2….0.0 2016….+2.5….+2.5 2015….+1.4…..+0.8 2014…..-0.1…..-0.1 2013….+1.2…..+1.3 2012…..+1.7…..+1.7 2011…..+2.2…..+1.8 2010….+3.9…..+3.4 2009….-0.6…..-0.6 2008….+1.2……+1.4 2007…..+0.3…..+0.6 2006…..+1.7……+1.6 2005…..+2.6…..+3.3 2004…..-0.3….-0.6 2003…+0.4….+0.4 2002…..+1.6….+2.3 2001…..+0.7…..+0.6 2000…..-1.2…..-1.3 1999…..+2.7…..+2.9 1998….+0.7…..+0.7 1997….-0.3……-0.8 1996…..-0.6….-0.4 1995….+1.4…..+1.8 1994….+1.5…..+1.8 1993….+1.4…..+1.3 1992….-2.0…..-2.3 1991…..+1.8…..+1.7
  14. The EPS has a break in the record heat over the next week. Still generally warmer than average as the cool departures stay to our west. Not much improvement for the locations experiencing drought. Then the heat builds east from the Plains in early August again. Jul 25 to Aug 1 Aug 1 to Aug 8
  15. We can clearly identify the mid 1990s into the early 2000s as the period when the trees began to cover the Central Park equipment. From the 1950s through the early 1990s, NYC would record 90 degree days in reasonable agreement with either EWR or LGA. Then NYC fell far behind during the 2000s when tree growth caused the high temperature readings to become unreliable. Sample years for 90 days since 1955 1955 EWR…32 NYC….25 LGA…..29 1966 EWR….33 NYC….35 LGA….25 1977 EWR….26 NYC….23 LGA…..14 1980 EWR…27 NYC…32 LGA….22 1983 EWR…40 NYC…36 LGA….31 1988 EWR….43 NYC….32 LGA…..26 1991 EWR…41 NYC…39 LGA….34 1999 EWR….33 NYC….27 LGA….26 2005 EWR….37 NYC….23 LGA…..30 2006 EWR…..27 NYC…..8 LGA……22 2010 NYC…54 NYC….37 LGA….48 2016 EWR….40 NYC…..22 LGA…..32 2020 EWR….31 NYC….20 LGA…..34 2021 EWR….41 NYC…..17 LGA…..25 Central Park would regularly tie or lead for the most 90° days from the 1930s to 1980. But the tree growth over the equipment has prevented it from happening since 1980. If the station was properly maintained, NYC could have lead the area or tied for the most 90° days several years since then. Years when Central Park lead or tied for most 90° days 1936 NYC….26 EWR….22 1937 NYC…22 EWR…22 1939 NYC…24 EWR…24 1941 NYC…29 EWR…27 1953 NYC….32 EWR….32 1962 NYC….18 EWR….14 1966 NYC…35 EWR….33 1967 NYC…..9 EWR….7 1969 NYC….16 EWR…15 1970 NYC…29 EWR….29 1976 NYC…15 EWR..15 1980 NYC…32 EWR…27
  16. I added the NJ July highest temperatures below since 2010. Newark and Harrison are often close on the max like the 102° this July so far. One of those stations is usually the NJ leader. New Brunswick is usually several degrees cooler since it’s more of a suburban setting than Newark and Harrison. Much of the July variance from year to year in NJ is probably the result of differing prevailing wind patterns. The Newark site is right near the bay. So active bay breeze years like 2021 will allow Newark to run cooler than surrounding sites. The 2010 Newark disparity is a result of the thermometer malfunction at around 12:30 causing the station to miss the local highs of 106-107 a few hours later. Monthly Data for July 2022 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102 HARRISON COOP 102 Newark Area ThreadEx 102 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 101 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 101 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 101 LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST COOP 100 FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 99 ESTELL MANOR COOP 99 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 99 PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 99 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 99 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 99 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 99 Monthly Data for July 2021 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature HARRISON COOP 100 LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST COOP 100 CANOE BROOK COOP 99 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 99 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 99 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 98 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 98 FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 97 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 97 Monthly Data for July 2020 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST COOP 99 MARGATE COOP 98 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 98 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 98 HARRISON COOP 98 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 97 MILLVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 97 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 97 INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 97 CANOE BROOK COOP 97 CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 97 EB FORSYTHE NEW JERSEY RAWS 96 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 96 Newark Area ThreadEx 96 PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 96 CAPE MAY 2 NW COOP 96 HAMMONTON 1 NE COOP 96 FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 96 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 96 ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 96 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 96 ESTELL MANOR COOP 96 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 96 PHILADELPHIA/MT. HOLLY WFO COOP 95 Trenton Area ThreadEx 95 Belvidere Area ThreadEx 95 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 95 Monthly Data for July 2019 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature HARRISON COOP 101 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 100 CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 100 MARGATE COOP 100 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 100 LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST COOP 100 Newark Area ThreadEx 99 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 99 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 99 EB FORSYTHE NEW JERSEY RAWS 99 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 99 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 98 PHILADELPHIA/MT. HOLLY WFO COOP 98 SALEM COOP 98 CANOE BROOK COOP 98 ESTELL MANOR COOP 98 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 98 PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 98 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 98 Monthly Data for July 2018 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature ATSION COOP 101 HARRISON COOP 101 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 100 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 100 CANOE BROOK COOP 99 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 99 PHILADELPHIA/MT. HOLLY WFO COOP 99 HAMMONTON 1 NE COOP 99 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 98 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 98 Trenton Area ThreadEx 98 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 98 Newark Area ThreadEx 98 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 98 INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 98 TRENTON-MERCER AIRPORT WBAN 98 FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 97 PHILLIPSBURG-EASTON BRIDGE COOP 97 CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 97 BOONTON 1 SE COOP 97 ESTELL MANOR COOP 97 PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 97 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 97 SEABROOK FARMS COOP 97 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 97 Monthly Data for July 2017 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 98 HARRISON COOP 98 Newark Area ThreadEx 98 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 98 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 97 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 97 EB FORSYTHE NEW JERSEY RAWS 96 CANOE BROOK COOP 96 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 96 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 95 MANASQUAN 1 NW COOP 95 Trenton Area ThreadEx 95 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 95 CAPE MAY 2 NW COOP 95 SEABROOK FARMS COOP 95 HAMMONTON 1 NE COOP 95 INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 95 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 95 TRENTON-MERCER AIRPORT WBAN 95 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 95 Monthly Data for July 2016 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 99 CANOE BROOK COOP 99 Newark Area ThreadEx 99 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 98 MANASQUAN 1 NW COOP 98 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 98 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 97 CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 97 HARRISON COOP 97 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 97 Monthly Data for July 2015 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature CRANFORD COOP 100 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 98 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 98 HARRISON COOP 98 Newark Area ThreadEx 98 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 97 CANOE BROOK COOP 96 CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 96 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 96 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 96 Monthly Data for July 2014 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 98 POTTERSVILLE 2 NNW COOP 98 SOMERDALE 4 SW COOP 97 Newark Area ThreadEx 96 HAMMONTON 1 NE COOP 96 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 96 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 96 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 96 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 96 SEABROOK FARMS COOP 95 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 95 PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 95 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 95 Monthly Data for July 2013 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature HARRISON COOP 102 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 101 Newark Area ThreadEx 101 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 100 CRANFORD COOP 99 RINGWOOD COOP 99 HAMMONTON 1 NE COOP 98 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 98 Monthly Data for July 2012 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 104 CHATHAM 2 W COOP 104 Newark Area ThreadEx 104 CRANFORD COOP 103 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 103 HARRISON COOP 103 CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 102 BOONTON 1 SE COOP 102 SOMERDALE 4 SW COOP 102 PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 102 HAMMONTON 1 NE COOP 102 CANOE BROOK COOP 101 RINGWOOD COOP 101 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 101 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 101 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 101 Monthly Data for July 2011 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 108 Newark Area ThreadEx 108 HARRISON COOP 107 TRENTON-MERCER AIRPORT WBAN 106 Trenton Area ThreadEx 106 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 105 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 105 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 105 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 105 Monthly Data for July 2010 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature CANOE BROOK COOP 107 RINGWOOD COOP 106 HARRISON COOP 106 SOMERDALE 4 SW COOP 106 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 105 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 105 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 104 TRENTON-MERCER AIRPORT WBAN 104 PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 104 Trenton Area ThreadEx 104 CRANFORD COOP 104 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 104 MILLVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 103 SEABROOK FARMS COOP 103 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 103 PHILADELPHIA/MT. HOLLY WFO COOP 103 Newark Area ThreadEx 103 FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 103 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 103
  17. They should probably read the paper that I posted yesterday on how flawed the MADIS comparisons are. While the OKX crew does a great job on forecasting, what they let happen to the Central Park observing site doesn’t speak highly of the quality control at the NYC ASOS. I don’t think that any other local NWS office would allow that to happen to one of their legacy sites. At least the forecasters from the surrounding offices drop in and add their comments. But we seldom see forecasters from the OKX office comment on Central Park.
  18. Who is throwing out New Brunswick? The point is that the 100° heat wasn’t isolated to Newark over this current heatwave.
  19. Saying this person said x on y board doesn’t help us out. We have the actual data from this heatwave. The 100s were widely recorded from Harrison back to Somerset County.
  20. There have been times before the current heatwave when it seems like there may have been a +0.5 to +1 variance like you have shown. But over the last few weeks, Newark has been really close to the other usual warmest sites. We could probably make a case that the variance between Newark and other warm spots back in June was wider than usual. Comparing Newark to New Brunswick can be a challenge since the Rutgers station is much more suburban by comparison. As you mentioned, Harrison has gaps in the data. Plus the Newark climate period is 1991-2020. The temperature record at Harrison only goes back to 2000. Photos from New Brunswick station. https://www.njweather.org/station/1101 Station name: HARRISON State: NJ County: Hudson County (FIPS 34017) Climate Division: NORTHERN (NJ01) Station ids: 283704 (Coop) USC00283704 (GHCN) HSNN4 (NWS LI) Latitude: 40.7481 degrees Longitude: -74.1520 degrees Elevation: 24 feet Available date ranges: Max Temperature 2000-01-01 - 2022-07-25 Min Temperature 2000-01-01 - 2022-07-25 Precipitation 1997-01-01 - 2022-07-25 Snowfall 1997-01-01 - 2022-07-25 Snow Depth 1997-01-01 - 2022-07-25
  21. That’s right. The heatwave wasn’t that bad theme was very active on Twitter and other sites this weekend. The dense vegetation growth since the 90s in Central Park seldom gets mentioned. This is really where the NWS needs to step in. There have been numerous posts in recent years on various websites stating that heatwaves in recent years haven’t that bad because NYC was cooler and more reliable. The NYC thermometer wasn’t in the deep shade when many of the older records were set. Record heat this afternoon: from the NY Times: Daily record high temperature, since Central Park 106°F set in Dust Bowl of 1936. Tree growth around the NYC ASOS in recent years Original condition of the site when records like 1936 were set There were several temperatures higher than 106° at our local stations back in 2010 and 2011. Data for January 1, 2010 through December 31, 2011 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 108 NY MINEOLA COOP 108 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 107 NJ HARRISON COOP 107 NY WANTAGH CEDAR CREEK COOP 107 NJ RINGWOOD COOP 106
  22. He invalidates his whole premise about the difference between Newark and other stations during this heatwave with this one passage below. In other words, instead of a five day temperature trend of 100-100-100-101-102, it may actually have been as cool as 97-97-97-98-99. No record-breaking streak of triple digit heat. Harrison nearly had 4 days in a row of 100°. So is it so hard to believe that the environment at Newark could be a degree or two warmer on the 21st and 22nd? Temperatures can vary within a few miles. Plus several more rural stations like SMQ just missed 5 days of 100° by 2 degrees on the 21st. Data for HARRISON, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature 2022-07-20 97 2022-07-21 99 2022-07-22 100 2022-07-23 101 2022-07-24 102 Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature 2022-07-20 100 2022-07-21 100 2022-07-22 100 2022-07-23 101 2022-07-24 102 Data for SOMERSET AIRPORT, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature 2022-07-20 100 2022-07-21 98 2022-07-22 100 2022-07-23 100 2022-07-24 101
  23. Relative to the July rankings, several of our stations are at or near the top for July warmth. While Newark is in the lead, White Plains and Danbury are not far behind. A number of stations in the Mount Holly forecast zones are ranking very high also. We can see how many top ranking years there were since the summers became much warmer in 2010. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2022 83.0 7 2 2011 82.7 0 3 1993 82.5 0 4 2010 82.3 0 5 1994 81.9 0 Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Jul Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 1999 78.5 1 2 2022 77.0 7 - 2013 77.0 0 - 2010 77.0 0 3 2020 76.9 0 4 2019 76.8 0 5 1966 76.7 0 - 1955 76.7 2 Time Series Summary for DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP, CT - Month of Jul Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 1999 76.4 8 2 2022 75.9 7 3 2013 75.7 0 4 2020 75.6 0 5 2010 74.7 0 Time Series Summary for PHILADELPHIA INTL AP, PA - Month of Jul Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2011 82.4 0 2 1994 82.1 0 3 2022 82.0 7 4 2020 81.9 0 5 2012 81.8 0 Time Series Summary for SOMERSET AIRPORT, NJ - Month of Jul Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 1999 78.5 1 2 2022 78.0 7 - 2020 78.0 0 3 2019 77.5 0 - 2011 77.5 0 4 2013 77.4 0 5 2012 76.9 0 Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 1999 79.7 0 - 1955 79.7 0 2 2022 79.1 7 - 2013 79.1 0 3 2020 79.0 0 - 2010 79.0 0 4 1901 78.7 0 5 2011 78.5 0
  24. The continuing marine heatwave in the NW Atlantic has helped Nantucket reach the warmest July on record so far. This part of the Atlantic is one of the fastest warming in the world. So it’s no surprise how many 70°+ Julys Nantucket has had in recent years. Time Series Summary for NANTUCKET MEMORIAL AP, MA - Month of Jul Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2022 72.8 7 2 2013 72.3 0 3 2010 72.2 0 4 1975 72.0 0 5 2021 71.6 1 - 1952 71.6 0 6 2012 71.2 0 - 1999 71.2 1 7 1949 71.0 0 8 1979 70.6 0 - 1971 70.6 0 9 2020 70.5 0 - 2019 70.5 0 - 2008 70.5 0 10 2015 70.2 0 11 2016 70.0 0 - 1980 70.0 0
  25. Sunday had the most 100° readings across the area in a long time. There were at least 11 stations that made it to 100°. Newark, Berkeley Twp, and Somerset County reached 102°. So the addition of these new micronet stations shows that Newark really isn’t that unique. People need to look at more than just the NWS hourly round up of major airports to get a full picture of the climate in our area. So posters on twitter should feel free to join the fuller discussion in this thread rather than issue random tweets that don’t do reflect the actual conditions in our area. NYC micronet Tremont / Van Nest 101 Corona 101 Fresh Kills 100 OKX forecast zones Data for July 24, 2022 through July 24, 2022 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102 NJ HARRISON COOP 101 Philly forecast zones Data for July 24, 2022 through July 24, 2022 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NJ SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 101 NJ SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 101 NJ FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 101 ▼ Hillsborough-Duke NJ 2022-07-24 Mesonet 102 Berkeley Twp. NJ 2022-07-24 Mesonet 102 ▼ Toms River NJ 2022-07-24 Mesonet 100
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