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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Interestingly enough this was discussed elsewhere, and over the last month the 500mb chart comparison, Euro/GDPS/Ukie all are doing better than the GFS. It has fallen below those 2 models even, this upgrade has been a substantial downgrade. You can tell because all you need to do is compare to its own ensembles, and how the op is almost always wildly different by day 7.
  2. dangerous game betting on the GFS these days.
  3. No Longer answer: Hell ****ing no.
  4. You live in one of a few counties in the country to have a F5 tornado, just because it hasn't happened in a long time doesn't mean it can't again. Complacency in this state is going to get people killed when we do actually get a real tornado outbreak again.
  5. I had my 2nd shot on Thursday, and minimal impacts, just a sore arm.
  6. Euro is the only one doing that and is completely overaggressive at that.
  7. 84 is our record here tomorrow, we are forecasted for 83.
  8. Shocker, Michigan has had one more recently, in Mar 2019.
  9. I think the system next week and early May stuff, then we get a break before the last 10 days of May are fire.
  10. There is a complaint thread, go there and keep it out of here.
  11. Some just looking for something to complain about. There is a very large change coming and May should be very active.
  12. It is sticking here to the rooftop and the grass, started to stick once we got below 3/4SM about an hour ago. Had this been coming at dark like originally expected we'd already probably have a couple inches.
  13. Second run in a row the GFS ticked back north.
  14. I see we found our new hot spot.
  15. Both NAMs big shift north on 18z runs.
  16. I have no idea, I mean more have been trending south, so if I had to choose, I'd go with that.
  17. I find it hilarious that we might be missed to the south.
  18. The wild card right now is on this side of the subforum, its mostly at night and a bit colder to boot. It could really be something if everything comes completely together.
  19. So much is flowering right now that this could be a very bad hit.
  20. Obviously you'd rather be healthy, but some here are treating it as if it is the magic bullet, it is just like the equivalent of SC not having covid earlier in the thread. Just like it wasn't raining gold there it isn't raining tread machines here.
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