Stebo
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Everything posted by Stebo
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And how has the GFS performed lately? This is going to change 50 times and that is just with the gfs.
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6" here, had some big time drifts too, 2-3' half way up the fence of the neighbors.
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It won't last long and is filling in quickly. It might not even slow down much.
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Down that way might get skunked a bit by the dryslot.
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Disagree also too as it cools you are going to have weaker returns and still be producing. The FGEN at 850/700 look good too
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Interesting that the euro came in more juiced up. Not that it means alot at this point but gotta stop the hemorrhaging somehow. And yeah the 06z runs stopping the south bleed thank god
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Yeah I don't think so, nothing is that bad not even the shitty gfs.
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It is 50 right now and somehow we might be missed to the south 15 hours from now.
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GFS keeps moving south, what a garbage system and/or garbage model.
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I agree with these thoughts, yes it is a bit annoying that there is a drying trend in the models right before the system hits but I don't see this unraveling as fast and there is ample moisture heading north without a blocking heavy rain MCS like back in December.
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I would expect a watch in a couple hours for SEMI, they will probably go 5-8 but I would do 7-10. Every model seems to have move off of the ice potential north of 8 Mile and the rest are slowing moving away from it south of there.
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I'm looking around here, locally for you sure. There are huge differences to the east.
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They were south of the 18z run by a considerable margin.
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To break that down further the ARW part of the ensemble which tends to be the most amplified is the group of the ensemble more south.
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They are south, that is a tell that the NAM maybe be too far north, when everything else is south. Plus inverse NAM principle is a good play too.
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7 at home and 9.2 at work. It wasn't that great of a storm, especially knowing what hit all around us.
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Sad we can't get a within 12 hour bump NW like the lead wave.
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I'm talking part 1. If we grinded to 6 total does it even mean much? I know you are the eternal optimist but this is a screw job.
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We are going to struggle to get to 6" trust me. We are getting screwed. Solid storm sure but when you are forecasted double to triple. It's a complete rug pull.
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**** this stupid winter.
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It's looking like Detroit is going to take forever to change over. Nothing like a massive change less than 12 hours before a storm.
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Yeah good luck getting to 2.7 million people
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I wonder who that is
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First wave is kind of becoming the more dominant wave. I would rather be in the target zone on that right now considering it is much much closer.
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The rest of the clown car (GEFS) are with the op though.
