"meteorologist"
As for this rating if this isn't a 5 then I don't know how you achieve one. It is literally impossible considering how catastrophic the damage has been with this tornado.
You can't say that everything is lower bound though. It doesn't work like that either. Even if these cases have lower bounds everything isn't going to be a lower bound.
Watches already up for lower Michigan, we look to mix almost to 800mb and there is 65kts up there so we could really be in for quite an event here locally Saturday morning and into the afternoon.
Is this the summer complaint thread, I mean its about to feel like summer almost next week. Hot and dusty for a forecast in December, is something else.
Need to get it closer but the trends today have been favorable for a better system, with the current system moving east enough to allow for further development of this clipper.
This was never thread worthy, even on the gfs it was a couple inches at most. We gotta save the thread making for meaningful storms and have a general thread to cover the DAB+ storms.
My guess is that the cold air presses in too much and the system gets sheared out under the confluence of the upper low, if it doesn't press enough enough then its rain anyways.
So plotting out the temperatures for the rest of the month would yield a 59.6 average for the month which would put us fourth place, below 60 (1900) above 59.5 (1920, 1879) and above 59.1 (2007)