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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    6-10" for that zone would be the biggest storm for most.
  2. Stebo
    Most of the individual members are north of that mean tho, its just got a couple of far east members pulling the mean east/flatter.
  3. Stebo
    It is not surprising that there has been a shift north, the system moving off the coast is quicker to move away and this system is slower, thus removing the confluence that would help keep the system moving more easterly and keeping the track south. I know it sounds crazy but I would be worried here that this keeps shifting north more.
  4. Stebo
    Id be very shocked if we get anything for at least 2 weeks maybe even longer.
  5. Stebo
    Rain so far and a bunch of zzzz after
  6. Stebo
  7. Stebo
    Your posts have been C- at best including fighting Josh on climo which he knows better than most here. I would suggest doing better.
  8. Stebo
    I have been reading all day, if only we had a bit of moderation That said, yes that comment was bad, like just read Naso, your answer will come in time. Plus you supposedly understand models so you should be able to find the answer on your own. Stop being lazy.
  9. Stebo
    You have looked at weather maps for years and can't figure out how much you are going to get lmao
  10. Stebo
    I have my reasons, if you want to know them my DMs are open
  11. Stebo
    Yep I'm out, anyone who wants to chat catch me on twitter or in off topic, also DM if you'd like.
  12. Stebo
    Yeah I dont blame you guys for going with a watch given the time of year the travel impacts and the high impact potential. Plus it is a watch not a warning anyways.
  13. Stebo
    I'm still very hesitant. It can easily keep moving east or move back west.
  14. Stebo
    The 18z GFS would be the stupidest solution possible locally.
  15. Stebo
    That stuff south of the main band tho is transitional from rain to snow along the Arctic front. Which is why it looks splotchy and I just dont see that happening especially across Indiana, Southern Michigan, and Ohio. That shut off along the front will be pronounced.
  16. Stebo
    Hell if the GFS went this far west the Euro probably goes over Omaha.
  17. Stebo
    Toss everything south of the main band for every ensemble. That back end stuff is incredibly overdone
  18. Stebo
    You should. Save yourself 4 days of wasting time.
  19. Stebo
    Bye storm.
  20. Stebo
    The evolution is straightforward, the location isn't yet.
  21. Stebo
    If the low occluded early like the gfs shows that could keep some of the warmth away. Something to watch as well. Also when the low comes north is in question too. Also the depth of digging is in question. The certainty is that this will be a significant to historic storm and it is for this region.
  22. Stebo
    I have no idea what could happen, there literally are several different solutions and every run of every model comes in with something new. I'd lean cutter with an occlusion just not as far west as the current storm, but beyond that I have no clue. We probably wont get one at least until Sunday at the earliest.
  23. Stebo
    Yeah, this is a multiple pronged event, there is easily the potential of it being nothing or being what the euro showed last night. What I do expect is for the southern stream to slow some and the northern stream to speed up some. Will that leave enough of a pocket for some wave separation and a storm, remains to be seen.
  24. Stebo
    Accurate As for Cromartie, yes he should be removed, nothing useful ever coming from him but constant trolling. I'd do it myself but yeah no green tag here.
  25. Stebo
    Catching some cold rain tonight, maybe a half inch.
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