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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    We shall see, the thing I am watching is that it is already maximized on strength, I don't see this being stronger than 975mb. So there is a limitation how far left it can go, especially since it doesn't go negative until it gets into AR and as RC mentioned there is still a -NAO on going so it could come up and then move east, which would lead to more of an ice storm potential.
  2. Stebo
    There should be some wind but this isn't surrounded by a very strong high, so even if this ends up sub 980mb it won't be a big wind bag. Thank you
  3. Stebo
    I was serious that I missed posting with every.
  4. Stebo
    The 18z Euro is a bit NW of the 12z at the same time. A pretty large zone of ice with it too.
  5. Stebo
    Lol at this post especially the the bold.
  6. Stebo
    DTW got exactly the same.
  7. Stebo
    Most of the models were not going hard until the end, interestingly enough the GFS locked in and didn't budge for 4 days. It ended up getting it right.
  8. Stebo
    I don't work for the NWS itself, but I have to believe they were. I know a twitter chat of mine with Michigan OCMs, enthusiasts, chasers, and met students were all going harder on the ice than DTX and IWX were. GRR did a good job though. Personally I was quite surprised how bad Hillsdale County got it, the rest though was pretty much what I had expected.
  9. Stebo
    Yeah I had about .10" of ice in the trees at home, and it was sleeting when I left.
  10. Stebo
    Thank you, I missed posting here with everyone but I couldn't do it in good conscience for a while.
  11. Stebo
    Basically the timing goes back to why he was banned out of OT, he should have been removed fully then but somehow wasn't. Other things went on this weekend that pushed the removal of a lot of outstanding issues.
  12. Stebo
    I am legit concerned this could be the outcome, I hope it isn't. Hell I would take 33 and rain over ice at this point. A repeat of today would be fine, we are at 1.17 liquid almost all of it rain.
  13. Stebo
    Yep these are both correct, though both of you don't know how long the history goes back. He has had several questionable problems over the years and somehow avoided getting the axe when he should have, more so why he kept testing the bounds until he got what was coming to him for a long time. It really isn't hard to not be a weird creep, but to be an open weird creep so brazenly just is wild. Nonetheless, this subforum will move on and the change will largely go unnoticed.
  14. Stebo
    Not to my hands but I am glad to be back You don't know what you are talking about More than some and a lot has slid under the radar for a long time. This is something everyone should be happy getting fixed.
  15. Stebo
    Euro is unchanged from the 12z runs maybe a hair weaker at 500mb but not by much at all.
  16. Stebo
    Gefs looks to be about the same as 18z a bit less variability.
  17. Stebo
    It didn't look good for the east if you looked at the teleconnections. Just because a model run or two showed something doesn't mean it's "good" for a region.
  18. Stebo
    This winter is a C rn.
  19. Stebo
    6-10" for that zone would be the biggest storm for most.
  20. Stebo
    Most of the individual members are north of that mean tho, its just got a couple of far east members pulling the mean east/flatter.
  21. Stebo
    It is not surprising that there has been a shift north, the system moving off the coast is quicker to move away and this system is slower, thus removing the confluence that would help keep the system moving more easterly and keeping the track south. I know it sounds crazy but I would be worried here that this keeps shifting north more.
  22. Stebo
    Id be very shocked if we get anything for at least 2 weeks maybe even longer.
  23. Stebo
    Rain so far and a bunch of zzzz after
  24. Stebo
  25. Stebo
    Your posts have been C- at best including fighting Josh on climo which he knows better than most here. I would suggest doing better.
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